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Fulton Red Raiders (2-16)

Conference: OSHLA1

Region: NY B Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: John Mercer

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	at Rome Free Academy (7-11)	NY A Sec 3	84.4		W	12-	6		0.225
3/31	WESTHILL (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	93.2		L	5-	10		-0.075
4/03	CHITTENANGO (8-11)	NY C Sec 3	90.1		L	4-	10		-0.200
4/07	at Nottingham (2-17)	NY B Sec 3	87.4		L	8-	15		-0.175
4/10	at New Hartford (10-8)	NY B Sec 3	94.3		L	2-	15		0.000
4/12	at East Syracuse-Minoa (12-8)	NY B Sec 3	94.9		L	4-	18		0.000
4/17	at Whitesboro (8-11)	NY B Sec 3	91.7		L	7-	17		-0.050
4/20	HOMER (4-14)	NY C Sec 3	89.0		L	9-	12		-0.200
4/21	JAMESVILLE-DEWITT (22-3)	NY B Sec 3	98.6	2	L	3-	16		0.000
4/24	at Cortland (18-3)	NY B Sec 3	97.8	4	L	6-	20		0.000
4/26	at Chittenango (8-11)	NY C Sec 3	90.1		L	7-	8		-0.125
5/01	at Homer (4-14)	NY C Sec 3	89.0		L	5-	11		-0.125
5/03	NEW HARTFORD (10-8)	NY B Sec 3	94.3		L	9-	16		-0.075
5/08	EAST SYRACUSE-MINOA (12-8)	NY B Sec 3	94.9		L	7-	14		-0.075
5/10	WHITESBORO (8-11)	NY B Sec 3	91.7		W	10-	9		0.375
5/12	at Tully (14-6)	NY C Sec 3	94.6		L	2-	16		-0.025
5/15	at Jamesville-DeWitt (22-3)	NY B Sec 3	98.6	2	L	1-	14		0.000
5/17	CORTLAND (18-3)	NY B Sec 3	97.8	4	L	4-	18		0.000
			87.5						-0.52

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	A	Rome Free Academy	12-	6	6	1	++	1.48	4.95
3/31	H	Westhill	5-	10	-5	-7		-1.48	1.69
4/03	H	Chittenango	4-	10	-6	-2	–	-1.48	-4.00
4/07	A	Nottingham	8-	15	-7	-3	––	1.48	-4.38
4/10	A	New Hartford	2-	15	-13	-10	–	1.48	-2.81
4/12	A	East Syracuse-Minoa	4-	18	-14	-10	–	1.48	-3.55
4/17	A	Whitesboro	7-	17	-10	-8		1.48	-1.90
4/20	H	Homer	9-	12	-3	-2		-1.48	-0.55
4/21	H	Jamesville-DeWitt	3-	16	-13	-13		-1.48	-0.03
4/24	A	Cortland	6-	20	-14	-17	+	1.48	2.63
4/26	A	Chittenango	7-	8	-1	-5	+	1.48	3.97
5/01	A	Homer	5-	11	-6	-5		1.48	-0.59
5/03	H	New Hartford	9-	16	-7	-7		-1.48	0.22
5/08	H	East Syracuse-Minoa	7-	14	-7	-7		-1.48	0.49
5/10	H	Whitesboro	10-	9	1	-5	+++	-1.48	6.13
5/12	A	Tully	2-	16	-14	-9	––	1.48	-4.88
5/15	A	Jamesville-DeWitt	1-	14	-13	-16	+	1.48	2.94
5/17	H	Cortland	4-	18	-14	-14		-1.48	-0.33
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	A	New Hartford	2-	15	3.00
4/12	A	East Syracuse-Minoa	4-	18	4.00
4/17	A	Whitesboro	7-	17	0.00
4/21	H	Jamesville-DeWitt	3-	16	0.03
4/24	A	Cortland	6-	20	-2.63
5/12	A	Tully	2-	16	4.00
5/15	A	Jamesville-DeWitt	1-	14	-2.94
5/17	H	Cortland	4-	18	0.33
10-goal correction: 0.32

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	86.		Natl CCR Rank	1061
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.02		Natl Power Rank	1061
Natl SOS Rating	84.65		Natl SOS Rank	425
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.52		Natl Quality Win Rank	2194
W-L Pct Rating	0.11		W-L Pct Rank	2424
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-16		Ave Goal diff (all )	-7.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-13.7


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