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Garnet Valley Jaguars (18-4)

Region: PA DelVal

State: PA

Coach: Jim Harvey

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	at Ridley (13-6)	PA Centrl	94.2		L	4-	6		-0.250
3/24	ARCHBISHOP CARROLL (7-14)	PA Cathol	84.7		W	15-	0		0.000
3/28	LOWER MERION (11-9)	PA Centrl	90.8		L	9-	10		-0.450
3/30	at Upper Darby (7-13)	PA Centrl	86.7		W	13-	2		0.000
4/03	BISHOP SHANAHAN (8-9)	PA Suburb	91.1		W	13-	4		0.100
4/04	at Interboro (7-12)	PA DelVal	86.9		W	19-	5		0.000
4/12	at Strath Haven (13-9)	PA Centrl	92.8		W	11-	7		0.250
4/14	PENNCREST (15-8)	PA Centrl	94.3		W	9-	8		0.175
4/16	GREAT VALLEY (18-5)	PA Suburb	95.1	6	W	8-	6		0.200
4/18	KENNETT (10-11)	PA DelVal	89.5		W	6-	1		0.025
4/20	HARRITON (8-13)	PA DelVal	87.3		W	15-	1		0.000
4/23	at Avon Grove (9-7)	PA Suburb	90.7		W	14-	4		0.125
4/24	SPRINGFIELD-DELCO (8-8)	PA Centrl	90.9		W	11-	4		0.100
4/26	at Sun Valley (2-14)	PA DelVal	84.7		W	13-	2		0.000
4/28	UNIONVILLE (12-12)	PA Suburb	92.2		L	8-	9	3ot	-0.325
5/01	at Harriton (8-13)	PA DelVal	87.3		W	11-	6		0.025
5/03	at Kennett (10-11)	PA DelVal	89.5		W	16-	8		0.075
5/05	CARDINAL O'HARA (12-10)	PA Cathol	87.3		W	13-	0		0.000
5/08	SUN VALLEY (2-14)	PA DelVal	84.7		W	16-	0		0.000
5/10	at Interboro (7-12)	PA DelVal	86.9		W	16-	4		0.000
5/22	EMMAUS (15-5)	PA PVLL-LV	92.9		W	14-	6		0.125
5/24	at Germantown Academy (13-7)	PA IAC	95.0	9	L	8-	9		-0.200
			87.0						-0.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	A	Ridley	4-	6	-2	0		1.29	-1.72
3/24	H	ArchBishop Carroll	15-	0	15	16		-1.29	-1.17
3/28	H	Lower Merion	9-	10	-1	8	–––	-1.29	-9.09
3/30	A	Upper Darby	13-	2	11	10		1.29	1.26
4/03	H	Bishop Shanahan	13-	4	9	6	+	-1.29	3.33
4/04	A	Interboro	19-	5	14	11	+	1.29	2.93
4/12	A	Strath Haven	11-	7	4	0	++	1.29	4.11
4/14	H	Penncrest	9-	8	1	3		-1.29	-1.65
4/16	H	Great Valley	8-	6	2	2		-1.29	0.31
4/18	H	Kennett	6-	1	5	9	––	-1.29	-4.25
4/20	H	Harriton	15-	1	14	12	+	-1.29	2.43
4/23	A	Avon Grove	14-	4	10	5	++	1.29	5.13
4/24	H	Springfield-Delco	11-	4	7	6		-1.29	1.31
4/26	A	Sun Valley	13-	2	11	13		1.29	-1.91
4/28	H	Unionville	8-	9	-1	3	––	-1.29	-4.19
5/01	A	Harriton	11-	6	5	9	–	1.29	-3.99
5/03	A	Kennett	16-	8	8	7		1.29	1.34
5/05	H	Cardinal O'Hara	13-	0	13	13		-1.29	0.42
5/08	H	Sun Valley	16-	0	16	15		-1.29	0.51
5/10	A	Interboro	16-	4	12	11		1.29	0.93
5/22	H	Emmaus	14-	6	8	5	+	-1.29	2.76
5/24	A	Germantown Academy	8-	9	-1	-2		1.29	1.20
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	ArchBishop Carroll	15-	0	1.17
3/30	A	Upper Darby	13-	2	-1.26
4/04	A	Interboro	19-	5	-2.93
4/20	H	Harriton	15-	1	-2.43
4/23	A	Avon Grove	14-	4	0.00
4/26	A	Sun Valley	13-	2	1.91
5/05	H	Cardinal O'Hara	13-	0	-0.42
5/08	H	Sun Valley	16-	0	-0.51
5/10	A	Interboro	16-	4	-0.93
10-goal correction: -0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	118
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.00		Natl Power Rank	118
Natl SOS Rating	83.24		Natl SOS Rank	542
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	1364
W-L Pct Rating	0.82		W-L Pct Rank	219
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	0.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.3


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