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Granby Bears (8-10)

Conference: NWCIAC

Region: CT S

State: CT

Coach: Dave Emery

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/09	LEWIS MILLS-BURLINGTON (2-12)	CT S	72.6		W	12-	0		0.000
4/10	at Somers (17-3)	CT S	93.6		L	0-	10		0.000
4/13	at Suffield HS (12-6)	CT S	87.5		L	8-	16		-0.100
4/23	at Tolland (9-9)	CT S	84.4		L	4-	10		-0.175
4/24	at Ellington (7-10)	CT S	81.0		L	7-	10		-0.225
4/26	AVON HS (12-8)	CT S	89.1		L	8-	14		-0.125
4/30	at Rockville (4-12)	CT M	75.7		W	16-	9		0.200
5/02	TOLLAND (9-9)	CT S	84.4		W	9-	6		0.250
5/05	WINDSOR (4-12)	CT M	82.7		L	5-	10		-0.250
5/07	NEWINGTON (3-13)	CT L	78.4		W	13-	5		0.150
5/08	at Farmington (9-9)	CT M	86.0		W	11-	9		0.375
5/11	NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (14-5)	CT S	90.6		L	5-	10		-0.100
5/15	NORWICH TECH (0-13)	CT S	65.0		W	17-	1		0.000
5/17	WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (2-14)	CT M	72.9		W	7-	1		0.000
5/22	at Housatonic Valley (7-10)	CT S	81.0		L	4-	9		-0.275
5/24	EAST CATHOLIC (7-10)	CT S	78.5		L	4-	5		-0.400
5/31	STONINGTON (6-12)	CT S	79.1		W	15-	7		0.150
6/02	at Weston (18-3)	CT S	96.9	4	L	3-	17		0.000
			79.3						-0.52

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/09	H	Lewis Mills-Burlington	12-	0	12	10		-1.70	1.89
4/10	A	Somers	0-	10	-10	-12	+	1.70	2.48
4/13	A	Suffield HS	8-	16	-8	-6		1.70	-1.79
4/23	A	Tolland	4-	10	-6	-3	–	1.70	-2.69
4/24	A	Ellington	7-	10	-3	-1	–	1.70	-2.32
4/26	H	Avon HS	8-	14	-6	-5		-1.70	-0.74
4/30	A	Rockville	16-	9	7	2	++	1.70	4.70
5/02	H	Tolland	9-	6	3	0	+	-1.70	2.92
5/05	H	Windsor	5-	10	-5	0	––	-1.70	-5.38
5/07	H	Newington	13-	5	8	4	+	-1.70	3.90
5/08	A	Farmington	11-	9	2	-5	+++	1.70	7.05
5/11	H	Northwest Catholic	5-	10	-5	-6		-1.70	0.84
5/15	H	Norwich Tech	17-	1	16	16		-1.70	-0.39
5/17	H	Woodstock Academy	7-	1	6	10	–	-1.70	-3.86
5/22	A	Housatonic Valley	4-	9	-5	1	––	1.70	-5.90
5/24	H	East Catholic	4-	5	-1	6	–––	-1.70	-7.29
5/31	H	Stonington	15-	7	8	4	++	-1.70	4.07
6/02	A	Weston	3-	17	-14	-16	+	1.70	2.50
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	Lewis Mills-Burlington	12-	0	-1.89
4/10	A	Somers	0-	10	-2.48
5/15	H	Norwich Tech	17-	1	0.39
6/02	A	Weston	3-	17	-2.50
10-goal correction: -0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	1602
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.39		Natl Power Rank	1602
Natl SOS Rating	69.41		Natl SOS Rank	1977
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.52		Natl Quality Win Rank	2189
W-L Pct Rating	0.44		W-L Pct Rank	1492
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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