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Greens Farms Academy Dragons (8-6)

Region: NE 2 FAA

State: CT

Coach: Pete Karlan

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	MARVELWOOD (6-9)	NE 3 West	67.3		W	20-	3		0.000
4/07	CHESHIRE ACADEMY (4-9)	NE 2 West	78.0		L	8-	9	ot	-0.325
4/11	HOPKINS SCHOOL (12-2)	NE 2 FAA	88.5	3	L	3-	12		-0.050
4/14	WOOSTER (9-2)	NE 3 West	74.9		W	11-	6		0.000
4/20	KINGSWOOD-OXFORD (9-6)	NE 2 West	85.0	6	L	7-	16		-0.150
4/25	at Forman School (8-7)	NE 3 West	74.4		W	12-	4		0.150
4/28	at New York Mil Academy (4-10)	NE 2 West	68.2		W	19-	5		0.050
4/30	HAMDEN HALL (3-10)	NE 2 FAA	74.5		W	12-	5		0.100
5/02	SOUTH KENT (6-8)	NE 2 West	75.8		W	13-	2		0.100
5/04	at Williams (8-5)	NE East-2	84.8		L	10-	14		-0.075
5/08	MASTERS DOBBS FERRY (1-11)	NE 2 FAA	68.6		W	15-	4		0.000
5/10	at Rye Country Day (5-8)	NE 2 FAA	81.6	9	L	8-	13		-0.100
5/16	ST LUKE'S (15-4)	NE 2 FAA	86.9	5	L	10-	20		-0.150
5/18	at King-Low/Heywood Thos (11-6)	NE 2 FAA	81.9	8	W	11-	10		0.350
			77.0						-0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	H	Marvelwood	20-	3	17	16		-2.23	1.20
4/07	H	Cheshire Academy	8-	9	-1	3	–	-2.23	-3.96
4/11	H	Hopkins School	3-	12	-9	-8		-2.23	-1.30
4/14	H	Wooster	11-	6	5	10	––	-2.23	-5.11
4/20	H	Kingswood-Oxford	7-	16	-9	-4	––	-2.23	-4.73
4/25	A	Forman School	12-	4	8	4	+	2.23	3.87
4/28	A	New York Mil Academy	19-	5	14	8	++	2.23	5.71
4/30	H	Hamden Hall	12-	5	7	6		-2.23	0.93
5/02	H	South Kent	13-	2	11	6	++	-2.23	4.96
5/04	A	Williams	10-	14	-4	-7	+	1.84		3.30
5/08	H	Masters Dobbs Ferry	15-	4	11	12		-2.23	-0.97
5/10	A	Rye Country Day	8-	13	-5	-6		2.23	0.55
5/16	H	St Luke's	10-	20	-10	-4	–––	-2.23	-6.33
5/18	A	King-Low/Heywood Thos	11-	10	1	-4	++	2.23	5.19
									0.00	3.30

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Marvelwood	20-	3	-1.20
4/28	A	New York Mil Academy	19-	5	-4.00
5/02	H	South Kent	13-	2	-1.00
5/08	H	Masters Dobbs Ferry	15-	4	0.97
5/16	H	St Luke's	10-	20	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1828
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.30		Natl Power Rank	1828
Natl SOS Rating	65.42		Natl SOS Rank	2234
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	1471
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	1013
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.4
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.7


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