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Gilmour Academy Lancers (12-7)

Region: OH 2 Reg 1

State: OH

Coach: Jim Kazel

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	WEST GEAUGA (4-13)	OH 2 Reg 1	70.3		W	15-	6		0.000
3/27	WESTLAKE (7-10)	OH 2 Reg 1	76.5		W	11-	1		0.050
3/31	at Mentor (2-13)	OH 1 Reg 3	75.6		W	12-	3		0.075
4/03	at Rocky River (7-11)	OH 2 Reg 1	77.5		W	8-	6		0.200
4/17	CLEVELAND BENEDICTINE (3-10)	OH 2 Reg 2	71.6		W	19-	9		0.000
4/18	at Revere (9-8)	OH 2 Reg 2	79.6		W	8-	7		0.200
4/20	at Chagrin Falls (5-12)	OH 2 Reg 1	77.0		L	12-	13		-0.300
4/25	CLEVELAND HEIGHTS (5-10)	OH 1 Reg 3	81.0		W	14-	6		0.150
4/30	GREEN-AKRON (11-8)	OH 2 Reg 2	82.0		W	18-	6		0.125
5/02	at Hoover/No. Canton (14-3)	OH 1 Reg 3	91.8		L	7-	17		-0.025
5/03	BAY VILLAGE (4-12)	OH 2 Reg 1	70.3		W	14-	7		0.000
5/05	GRANVILLE (9-7)	OH 2 Reg 3	83.8	9	L	3-	4		-0.225
5/08	at Solon (8-7)	OH 2 Reg 2	83.6		W	11-	8		0.325
5/10	at St Edward/Eagle (12-4)	OH 4 North	87.1		L	8-	14		-0.125
5/12	HAWKEN SCHOOL (12-11)	OH 2 Reg 2	85.8	7	L	10-	14		-0.175
5/15	at University School (10-8)	OH 2 Reg 1	88.1	4	L	2-	11		-0.050
5/21	PERRYSBURG (6-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	81.3		W	12-	8		0.150
5/23	at St Francis de Sales (10-7)	OH 2 Reg 1	83.8	10	W	10-	8		0.300
5/26	at University School (10-8)	OH 2 Reg 1	88.1	4	L	2-	8		-0.050
			81.9						0.62

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	West Geauga	15-	6	9	13	––	-1.68	-4.22
3/27	H	Westlake	11-	1	10	8	+	-1.68	2.05
3/31	A	Mentor	12-	3	9	7	+	1.28		2.08
4/03	A	Rocky River	8-	6	2	2		1.68	-0.22
4/17	H	Cleveland Benedictine	19-	9	10	12		-1.68	-1.61
4/18	A	Revere	8-	7	1	2		1.68	-1.29
4/20	A	Chagrin Falls	12-	13	-1	2	–	1.68	-3.31
4/25	H	Cleveland Heights	14-	6	8	4	+	-1.28		3.92
4/30	H	Green-Akron	18-	6	12	5	+++	-1.68	7.49
5/02	A	Hoover/No. Canton	7-	17	-10	-9		1.28		-0.81
5/03	H	Bay Village	14-	7	7	16	–––	-1.68	-8.75
5/05	H	Granville	3-	4	-1	-1		-1.68	-0.16
5/08	A	Solon	11-	8	3	-3	+++	1.68	6.11
5/10	A	St Edward/Eagle	8-	14	-6	-5		1.30		-1.44
5/12	H	Hawken School	10-	14	-4	-3		-1.68	-1.37
5/15	A	University School	2-	11	-9	-8		1.68	-0.80
5/21	H	Perrysburg	12-	8	4	4		-1.68	-0.13
5/23	A	St Francis de Sales	10-	8	2	-2	+	1.68	3.99
5/26	A	University School	2-	8	-6	-8	+	1.68	2.20
									0.00	3.75

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	H	Westlake	11-	1	0.00
4/17	H	Cleveland Benedictine	19-	9	1.61
4/30	H	Green-Akron	18-	6	-2.00
5/02	A	Hoover/No. Canton	7-	17	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1426
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.84		Natl Power Rank	1426
Natl SOS Rating	74.13		Natl SOS Rank	1478
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.62		Natl Quality Win Rank	392
W-L Pct Rating	0.63		W-L Pct Rank	799
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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