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Our Lady-Good Counsel Falcons (11-8)

Region: DC WCACState: MDCoach: Matt Durkin

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/14at Landon (15-5)DC IAC97.5L2- 7 -0.050  
3/22WHITMAN (8-8)MD 43 West84.9W9- 4 0.050  
3/24at The Heights (9-10)MD MILL84.0W15- 5 0.100  
3/26ARCHBISHOP CARROLL (1-12)DC WCAC71.5W15- 1 0.000  
3/29at Gonzaga (8-11)DC WCAC90.26L9-10 -0.275  
4/01ST VINCENT PALLOTTI (9-9)MD B MIAA84.4W10- 5 0.050  
4/04ST JOHNS DC (10-8)DC WCAC83.6W15- 2 0.025  
4/07vs. Dulaney # (14-5)MD 43 South93.3L6-10 -0.200  
4/07at Fallston (17-2)MD 32 North92.9L3- 5 -0.175  
4/14vs. North Stafford # (17-3)VA Comw92.5W7- 6ot0.275  
4/14vs. The Heights # (9-10)MD MILL84.0W13- 5 0.050  
4/17at St Marys Ryken (17-2)DC WCAC97.11L5- 9 -0.075  
4/21vs. DeMatha # (14-7)DC WCAC93.53W5- 4 0.300  
4/24at Bishop O'Connell (9-10)DC WCAC88.49L6- 8 -0.325  
5/01at Bishop Ireton (11-7)DC WCAC88.68W9- 5 0.150  
5/02PAUL VI (7-7)DC WCAC86.4W12- 1 0.050  
5/04at Georgetown Prep (20-1)DC IAC99.3L4-17 -0.025  
5/08BISHOP IRETON (11-7)DC WCAC88.68W9- 5 0.075  
5/10at St Marys Ryken (17-2)DC WCAC97.11L7-13 -0.075  
# Neutral site 88.6     -0.07  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/14ALandon2-7-5   -8       +1.41       2.56
3/22HWhitman9-45   8       –-1.10       -2.52
3/24AThe Heights15-510   6       +1.48       3.54
3/26HArchbishop Carroll15-114   22       –––-1.48       -7.54
3/29AGonzaga9-10-1   1       1.48       -1.55
4/01HSt Vincent Pallotti10-55   8       –-1.46       -3.36
4/04HSt Johns DC15-213   9       +-1.48       3.77
4/07NDulaney6-10-4   -2       0.00       -1.99
4/07AFallston3-5-2   -3       1.10       0.65
4/14NNorth Stafford7-61   -1       +0.00       2.16
4/14NThe Heights13-58   8       0.00       0.06
4/17ASt Marys Ryken5-9-4   -7       +1.48       2.75
4/21NDeMatha5-41   -2       +0.00       2.62
4/24ABishop O'Connell6-8-2   3       ––1.48       -5.35
5/01ABishop Ireton9-54   4       1.48       0.27
5/02HPaul VI12-111   8       +-1.48       3.38
5/04AGeorgetown Prep4-17-13   -9       –1.41       -3.60
5/08HBishop Ireton9-54   7       –-1.48       -2.69
5/10ASt Marys Ryken7-13-6   -7       1.48       0.75
         0.00-6.10

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/24AThe Heights15-50.00
3/26HArchbishop Carroll15-17.54
4/04HSt Johns DC15-2-3.00
5/02HPaul VI12-1-1.00
5/04AGeorgetown Prep4-173.00
10-goal correction: 0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 92.   Natl CCR Rank 452
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 91.34   Natl Power Rank 452
Natl SOS Rating 87.25   Natl SOS Rank 261
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.07   Natl Quality Win Rank 1554
W-L Pct Rating 0.58   W-L Pct Rank 971
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-8   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -3.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -2.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 7-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 3.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -5.0



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