High School Computer Ratings

Green Hope Falcons (8-9)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Dan Swain

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/02	at Broughton-Needham (10-8)	NC 4A	79.8		W	12-	6	0.100
3/03	WILMINGTON HOGGARD (15-6)	NC 4A	88.2	10	L	7-	12	-0.250
3/06	CHAPEL HILL (22-4)	NC 4A	95.2	1	L	4-	14	-0.075
3/09	WAKEFIELD (9-9)	NC 4A	82.7		W	15-	9	0.175
3/13	at Holly Springs (3-14)	NC 4A	73.2		W	15-	3	0.000
3/20	EAST CHAPEL HILL (17-5)	NC 4A	92.3	5	L	9-	10	-0.175
3/23	at Cary-Middle Creek (7-7)	NC 4A	83.7		W	11-	7	0.200
3/29	GARNER (2-16)	NC 4A	68.5		W	23-	2	0.000
3/30	at Athens Drive (2-14)	NC 4A	77.1		W	16-	13	0.100
4/13	CARY HS (14-4)	NC 4A	90.2	9	L	8-	11	-0.225
4/17	at Apex (15-5)	NC 4A	92.8	3	L	10-	16	-0.100
4/20	at Cary HS (14-4)	NC 4A	90.2	9	L	10-	11	-0.175
4/24	ATHENS DRIVE (2-14)	NC 4A	77.1		W	17-	4	0.050
4/27	CARY-MIDDLE CREEK (7-7)	NC 4A	83.7		L	11-	13	-0.325
5/02	at SouthEast Raleigh (10-7)	NC 4A	80.5		W	14-	5	0.100
5/03	APEX (15-5)	NC 4A	92.8	3	L	6-	15	-0.125
5/08	at Wilmington Hoggard (15-6)	NC 4A	88.2	10	L	9-	11	-0.225
			85.9					-0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/02	A	Broughton-Needham	12-	6	6	6		0.74	0.47
3/03	H	Wilmington Hoggard	7-	12	-5	0	––	-0.74	-5.44
3/06	H	Chapel Hill	4-	14	-10	-7	–	-0.74	-3.47
3/09	H	Wakefield	15-	9	6	3	+	-0.74	2.69
3/13	A	Holly Springs	15-	3	12	10	+	0.74	2.01
3/20	H	East Chapel Hill	9-	10	-1	-3	+	-0.74	2.47
3/23	A	Cary-Middle Creek	11-	7	4	2	+	0.74	2.38
3/29	H	Garner	23-	2	21	18	+	-0.74	2.82
3/30	A	Athens Drive	16-	13	3	6	–	0.74	-3.09
4/13	H	Cary HS	8-	11	-3	-1		-0.74	-1.70
4/17	A	Apex	10-	16	-6	-6		0.74	0.34
4/20	A	Cary HS	10-	11	-1	-3		0.74	1.78
4/24	H	Athens Drive	17-	4	13	8	++	-0.74	5.44
4/27	H	Cary-Middle Creek	11-	13	-2	3	––	-0.74	-5.10
5/02	A	SouthEast Raleigh	14-	5	9	6	+	0.74	3.50
5/03	H	Apex	6-	15	-9	-5	––	-0.74	-4.13
5/08	A	Wilmington Hoggard	9-	11	-2	-1		0.74	-0.96
									0.00	0.00