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Garner Trojans (2-16)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Richard Lamb

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/27	at Cary-Middle Creek (7-7)	NC 4A	83.7		L	0-	15		0.000
3/02	at Triton (10-5)	NC 3A/2A	81.7		L	1-	12		0.000
3/09	at Cary HS (14-4)	NC 4A	90.2	9	L	0-	23		0.000
3/13	TRITON (10-5)	NC 3A/2A	81.7		L	2-	16		0.000
3/20	at Broughton-Needham (10-8)	NC 4A	79.8		L	1-	12		0.000
3/22	at SouthEast Raleigh (10-7)	NC 4A	80.5		L	2-	12		0.000
3/23	MILLBROOK (0-5)	NC Indep	66.9		W	4-	3		0.200
3/29	at Green Hope (8-9)	NC 4A	84.5		L	2-	23		0.000
3/30	BROUGHTON-NEEDHAM (10-8)	NC 4A	79.8		L	4-	13		0.000
4/10	SOUTHEAST RALEIGH (10-7)	NC 4A	80.5		L	5-	16		0.000
4/12	at Millbrook (0-5)	NC Indep	66.9		W	6-	3		0.250
4/17	W.G. ENLOE (4-10)	NC 4A	74.1		L	8-	12		-0.100
4/18	at W.G. Enloe (4-10)	NC 4A	74.1		L	6-	14		-0.050
4/20	WAKEFIELD (9-9)	NC 4A	82.7		L	2-	21		0.000
4/24	HOLLY SPRINGS (3-14)	NC 4A	73.2		L	7-	11		-0.100
4/27	at Wakefield (9-9)	NC 4A	82.7		L	0-	11		0.000
5/01	at Holly Springs (3-14)	NC 4A	73.2		L	3-	16		-0.075
5/02	at Hillsborough Orange (5-14)	NC 3A/2A	72.6		L	4-	8		-0.125
			80.5						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/27	A	Cary-Middle Creek	0-	15	-15	-16		0.74	0.83
3/02	A	Triton	1-	12	-11	-13		0.74	1.77
3/09	A	Cary HS	0-	23	-23	-20	–	0.74	-2.77
3/13	H	Triton	2-	16	-14	-11	–	-0.74	-2.71
3/20	A	Broughton-Needham	1-	12	-11	-12		0.74	0.92
3/22	A	SouthEast Raleigh	2-	12	-10	-12		0.74	1.94
3/23	H	Millbrook	4-	3	1	2		-0.74	-0.60
3/29	A	Green Hope	2-	23	-21	-18	–	0.74	-2.82
3/30	H	Broughton-Needham	4-	13	-9	-10		-0.74	1.44
4/10	H	SouthEast Raleigh	5-	16	-11	-10		-0.74	-0.53
4/12	A	Millbrook	6-	3	3	0	+	0.74	2.87
4/17	H	W.G. Enloe	8-	12	-4	-6	+	-0.74	2.30
4/18	A	W.G. Enloe	6-	14	-8	-8		0.74	-0.23
4/20	H	Wakefield	2-	21	-19	-14	––	-0.74	-4.87
4/24	H	Holly Springs	7-	11	-4	-6		-0.74	1.98
4/27	A	Wakefield	0-	11	-11	-16	++	0.74	4.61
5/01	A	Holly Springs	3-	16	-13	-7	––	0.74	-5.55
5/02	A	Hillsborough Orange	4-	8	-4	-5		0.74	1.43
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/27	A	Cary-Middle Creek	0-	15	-0.83
3/02	A	Triton	1-	12	-1.77
3/09	A	Cary HS	0-	23	2.77
3/13	H	Triton	2-	16	2.71
3/20	A	Broughton-Needham	1-	12	-0.92
3/22	A	SouthEast Raleigh	2-	12	-1.94
3/29	A	Green Hope	2-	23	2.82
4/10	H	SouthEast Raleigh	5-	16	1.00
4/20	H	Wakefield	2-	21	4.87
4/27	A	Wakefield	0-	11	-4.61
5/01	A	Holly Springs	3-	16	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.39

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	2477
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.50		Natl Power Rank	2477
Natl SOS Rating	70.90		Natl SOS Rank	1821
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	1342
W-L Pct Rating	0.11		W-L Pct Rank	2425
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-16		Ave Goal diff (all )	-10.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-23.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-17.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.3


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