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Groton School Zebras (1-14)

Region: NE ISL

State: MA

Coach: Bob Low

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/11	THE GOVERNOR'S ACADEMY (15-2)	NE ISL	98.2	1	L	0-	16		0.000
4/14	at St Sebastian (11-6)	NE ISL	94.7		L	1-	12		0.000
4/18	at Thayer Academy (11-6)	NE ISL	94.2		L	1-	10		0.000
4/21	ROXBURY LATIN (0-15)	NE ISL	82.9		W	9-	6		0.200
4/23	at Lawrence Academy (7-10)	NE ISL	89.8		L	4-	13		-0.075
4/25	at St Paul's (5-11)	NE ISL	89.7		L	1-	14		-0.025
4/27	NOBLE & GREENOUGH (12-4)	NE ISL	95.7	7	L	2-	13		0.000
5/02	at Brooks School (10-7)	NE ISL	94.0		L	3-	13		0.000
5/05	MIDDLESEX (11-4)	NE ISL	95.9	6	L	0-	13		0.000
5/09	BUCKINGHAM, B&N (3-14)	NE ISL	85.3		L	4-	12		-0.225
5/12	ST GEORGE'S (9-10)	NE ISL	91.4		L	4-	13		-0.100
5/16	at Belmont Hill (15-1)	NE ISL	97.4	3	L	1-	7		0.000
5/19	at Rivers (10-6)	NE ISL	94.2		L	8-	13		0.000
5/23	MILTON ACADEMY (7-8)	NE ISL	92.1		L	3-	9		-0.075
5/26	at St Mark's (4-11)	NE ISL	88.2		L	3-	9		-0.100
			90.9						-0.40

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/11	H	The Governor's Academy	0-	16	-16	-14		-1.45	-1.75
4/14	A	St Sebastian	1-	12	-11	-12		1.45	0.57
4/18	A	Thayer Academy	1-	10	-9	-11		1.45	1.60
4/21	H	Roxbury Latin	9-	6	3	2		-1.45	1.05
4/23	A	Lawrence Academy	4-	13	-9	-7	–	1.45	-2.04
4/25	A	St Paul's	1-	14	-13	-9	–	1.45	-3.81
4/27	H	Noble & Greenough	2-	13	-11	-10		-1.45	-0.95
5/02	A	Brooks School	3-	13	-10	-12		1.45	1.71
5/05	H	Middlesex	0-	13	-13	-11	–	-1.45	-2.05
5/09	H	Buckingham, B&N	4-	12	-8	-1	–––	-1.45	-6.73
5/12	H	St George's	4-	13	-9	-6	–	-1.45	-3.45
5/16	A	Belmont Hill	1-	7	-6	-14	+++	1.45	8.07
5/19	A	Rivers	8-	13	-5	-12	+++	1.45	6.68
5/23	H	Milton Academy	3-	9	-6	-7		-1.45	1.39
5/26	A	St Mark's	3-	9	-6	-6		1.45	-0.30
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	H	The Governor's Academy	0-	16	1.75
4/14	A	St Sebastian	1-	12	-0.57
4/25	A	St Paul's	1-	14	3.00
4/27	H	Noble & Greenough	2-	13	1.00
5/02	A	Brooks School	3-	13	-1.71
5/05	H	Middlesex	0-	13	2.05
10-goal correction: 0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1346
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.67		Natl Power Rank	1346
Natl SOS Rating	91.38		Natl SOS Rank	91
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.40		Natl Quality Win Rank	2035
W-L Pct Rating	0.07		W-L Pct Rank	2505
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.7


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