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Harrisburg Academy Spartans (5-10)

Region: PA Mid 1

State: PA

Coach: George Gonzales

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	at Lewisburg (8-4)	PA CSNLL	78.6		L	7-	8		-0.225
3/29	at Cumberland Valley (15-4)	PA Mid 1	88.8	4	L	3-	15		0.000
4/11	at Conestoga Valley (12-11)	PA LL04	83.4	9	L	2-	14		-0.075
4/14	CENTRAL DAUPHIN (4-12)	PA Mid 1	76.6		W	10-	5		0.200
4/19	PALMYRA (10-9)	PA Mid 1	81.3		L	5-	12		-0.225
4/24	at Carlisle (13-5)	PA Mid 1	87.1	6	L	2-	10		-0.025
4/26	LOWER DAUPHIN (11-6)	PA Mid 1	81.4		L	8-	12		-0.200
4/28	at Hershey (12-6)	PA Mid 1	83.7	8	L	6-	9		-0.100
5/01	NORTHERN YORK (13-4)	PA York 1	83.0		L	9-	15		-0.200
5/03	at Bishop McDevitt (1-14)	PA Mid 1	69.8		W	10-	2		0.100
5/04	LAMPETER-STRASBURG (14-8)	PA LL04	83.2	10	L	9-	11		-0.175
5/07	at Lancaster Cou Day (1-15)	PA LL04	72.5		W	9-	7		0.200
5/08	at Central Dauphin East (4-12)	PA Mid 1	75.2		W	10-	5		0.225
5/11	at Chambersburg (9-8)	PA Mid 1	80.3		L	9-	10		-0.150
5/15	at Elizabethtown (1-12)	PA LL04	72.5		W	5-	2		0.175
			81.7						-0.47

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	A	Lewisburg	7-	8	-1	-1		1.55	0.44
3/29	A	Cumberland Valley	3-	15	-12	-11		1.55	-1.00
4/11	A	Conestoga Valley	2-	14	-12	-7	––	1.55	-4.58
4/14	H	Central Dauphin	10-	5	5	2	+	-1.55	3.29
4/19	H	Palmyra	5-	12	-7	-1	––	-1.55	-5.67
4/24	A	Carlisle	2-	10	-8	-9		1.55	1.30
4/26	H	Lower Dauphin	8-	12	-4	-2		-1.55	-1.88
4/28	A	Hershey	6-	9	-3	-6	+	1.55	3.32
5/01	H	Northern York	9-	15	-6	-2	–	-1.55	-3.94
5/03	A	Bishop McDevitt	10-	2	8	6		1.55	1.58
5/04	H	Lampeter-Strasburg	9-	11	-2	-3		-1.55	1.03
5/07	A	Lancaster Cou Day	9-	7	2	2		1.55	0.04
5/08	A	Central Dauphin East	10-	5	5	1	+	1.55	3.66
5/11	A	Chambersburg	9-	10	-1	-4	+	1.55	2.78
5/15	A	Elizabethtown	5-	2	3	3		1.55	-0.36
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	A	Cumberland Valley	3-	15	1.00
4/11	A	Conestoga Valley	2-	14	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	1823
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.98		Natl Power Rank	1823
Natl SOS Rating	73.36		Natl SOS Rank	1555
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.47		Natl Quality Win Rank	2122
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1894
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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