| Conference: SCIAC | Region: CT L | State: CT | Coach: Jeff Gull |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/04 | H | Northwest Catholic | 9- | 10 | -1 | 0 | | -1.70 | -0.67 | |
4/07 | H | Pomperaug-Southbury | 8- | 7 | 1 | 4 | – | -1.70 | -2.88 | |
4/10 | A | Cheshire HS | 4- | 17 | -13 | -10 | – | 1.70 | -3.07 | |
4/12 | H | Amity Regional | 10- | 13 | -3 | -5 | | -1.70 | 1.73 | |
4/14 | H | Fairfield-Warde | 8- | 2 | 6 | 4 | | -1.70 | 1.99 | |
4/17 | H | Daniel Hand-Madison | 7- | 14 | -7 | -5 | – | -1.70 | -2.38 | |
4/19 | H | West Haven | 12- | 5 | 7 | 9 | | -1.70 | -1.53 | |
4/24 | A | Xavier | 13- | 12 | 1 | -1 | | 1.70 | 1.60 | |
5/01 | A | Guilford | 5- | 18 | -13 | -7 | –– | 1.70 | -5.89 | |
5/03 | A | Fairfield Prep | 8- | 19 | -11 | -14 | + | 1.70 | 3.45 | |
5/07 | H | North Haven | 13- | 6 | 7 | 4 | + | -1.70 | 2.99 | |
5/10 | H | Shelton | 8- | 4 | 4 | 5 | | -1.70 | -0.67 | |
5/12 | A | Newington | 16- | 3 | 13 | 6 | +++ | 1.70 | 6.79 | |
5/15 | A | Notre Dame-West Haven | 19- | 7 | 12 | 4 | +++ | 1.70 | 7.74 | |
5/17 | H | Branford | 10- | 19 | -9 | -9 | | -1.70 | -0.36 | |
5/21 | H | Morgan-Clinton | 13- | 14 | -1 | 3 | – | -1.70 | -3.88 | |
5/23 | A | Fairfield Prep | 2- | 21 | -19 | -14 | –– | 1.70 | -4.55 | |
6/02 | A | New Milford | 4- | 16 | -12 | -12 | | 1.70 | -0.43 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/10 | A | Cheshire HS | 4- | 17 | 3.00 |
5/01 | A | Guilford | 5- | 18 | 3.00 |
5/03 | A | Fairfield Prep | 8- | 19 | -3.45 |
5/12 | A | Newington | 16- | 3 | -3.00 |
5/15 | A | Notre Dame-West Haven | 19- | 7 | -2.00 |
5/23 | A | Fairfield Prep | 2- | 21 | 4.55 |
6/02 | A | New Milford | 4- | 16 | 0.43 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.14 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 87. | | Natl CCR Rank | 995 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.59 | | Natl Power Rank | 995 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 83.26 | | Natl SOS Rank | 540 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.20 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 927 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.44 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1493 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-10 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -2.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -15.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -12.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -10.6 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -10.7 |
| 
