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Hargrave Military Acad Tigers (1-9)

Region: VA 3 VIC

State: VA

Coach: Gerald Harper

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/13	ROANOKE CATHOLIC (14-5)	VA 3 VIC	88.5	2	L	2-	11		0.000
3/23	at Fork Union Mil Academy (4-10)	VA 2 Tidewtr	80.6		L	4-	11		-0.175
4/12	at Virginia Episcopal (16-5)	VA 2 VIC	90.8		L	0-	18		0.000
4/18	at North Cross (3-7)	VA 3 VIC	78.5	9	L	4-	11		-0.175
4/24	at Roanoke Catholic (14-5)	VA 3 VIC	88.5	2	L	3-	14		0.000
4/26	at Fishburne Military (0-10)	VA 3 VIC	74.5		W	8-	6		0.150
4/28	vs. Seton School # (12-4)	VA 3 Delaney	89.0	1	L	3-	12		-0.050
4/28	vs. Trinity-Meadow View # (10-4)	VA 3 Indep	86.9	3	L	4-	8		-0.075
5/01	at Covenant (12-7)	VA 2 VIC	88.9		L	1-	21		0.000
5/03	at Miller School (4-8)	VA 3 VIC	80.9	5	L	5-	9		-0.125
# Neutral site			84.5						-0.45

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/13	H	Roanoke Catholic	2-	11	-9	-11		-0.33	1.84
3/23	A	Fork Union Mil Academy	4-	11	-7	-3	–	0.35		-3.51
4/12	A	Virginia Episcopal	0-	18	-18	-14	––	0.35		-4.31
4/18	A	North Cross	4-	11	-7	-3	––	0.33	-4.18
4/24	A	Roanoke Catholic	3-	14	-11	-12		0.33	0.51
4/26	A	Fishburne Military	8-	6	2	4		0.33	-1.67
4/28	N	Seton School	3-	12	-9	-8		0.00	-0.80
4/28	N	Trinity-Meadow View	4-	8	-4	-7	+	0.00	3.36
5/01	A	Covenant	1-	21	-20	-12	–––	0.35		-8.22
5/03	A	Miller School	5-	9	-4	-5		0.33	0.93
									0.00	-16.04

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	A	Virginia Episcopal	0-	18	4.31
4/24	A	Roanoke Catholic	3-	14	-0.51
5/01	A	Covenant	1-	21	8.22
10-goal correction: 1.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	2096
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	77.50		Natl Power Rank	2096
Natl SOS Rating	76.64		Natl SOS Rank	1219
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.45		Natl Quality Win Rank	2048
W-L Pct Rating	0.10		W-L Pct Rank	2443
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-7.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-9.3


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