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Haverford School Fords (19-5)

Region: PA IACState: PACoach: John Nostrant

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/09at St Paul's (14-4)MD A MIAA98.4L9-10ot-0.225  
3/20DOWNINGTOWN WEST (16-6)PA Suburb95.08W14- 7 0.100  
3/23at McDonogh (19-5)MD A MIAA98.0L10-11 -0.250  
3/27at Landon (15-5)DC IAC97.5W7- 6 0.250  
4/03ST JOSEPH'S PREP (18-9)PA Cathol92.9W14- 2 0.000  
4/05DOWNINGTOWN EAST (21-3)PA Suburb99.21W12- 7 0.200  
4/07at Boys' Latin (18-2)MD A MIAA99.7W11-10ot0.300  
4/10at Malvern Prep (17-5)PA IAC98.14L7- 9 -0.250  
4/13EPISCOPAL ACADEMY (10-11)PA IAC92.6W8- 5 0.025  
4/19GERMANTOWN ACADEMY (13-7)PA IAC95.09W7- 5 0.125  
4/21PENNCREST (15-8)PA Centrl94.3W16- 4 0.050  
4/24at LaSalle College HS (26-2)PA Cathol98.63L6- 7 -0.300  
4/27MALVERN PREP (17-5)PA IAC98.14W8- 5 0.200  
5/01at Episcopal Academy (10-11)PA IAC92.6W14- 4 0.100  
5/04PENN CHARTER (14-12)PA IAC94.510W11- 6 0.100  
5/08at Germantown Academy (13-7)PA IAC95.09W11- 8 0.175  
5/09LAWRENCEVILLE (17-1)NJ Private98.5W13- 8 0.200  
5/11CHESTNUT HILL ACADEMY (6-8)PA IAC85.5W18- 3 0.000  
5/12at Radnor (12-11)PA Centrl93.4W8- 4 0.150  
5/15at Penn Charter (14-12)PA IAC94.510W11- 5 0.175  
5/18at Conestoga (18-5)PA Centrl96.45W12-10 0.200  
5/25ST JOSEPH'S PREP (18-9)PA Cathol92.9W14- 4 0.000  
5/29vs. Penncrest # (15-8)PA Centrl94.3W14- 5 0.100  
6/01vs. Downingtown East # (21-3)PA Suburb99.21L7- 8 -0.275  
# Neutral site 94.2     1.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/09ASt Paul's9-10-1   -1       1.31       -0.19
3/20HDowningtown West14-77   6       -1.29       1.02
3/23AMcDonogh10-11-1   0       1.31       -0.55
3/27ALandon7-61   0       1.31       0.89
4/03HSt Joseph's Prep14-212   10       +-1.29       2.05
4/05HDowningtown East12-75   2       +-1.29       2.61
4/07ABoys' Latin11-101   -2       +1.31       3.10
4/10AMalvern Prep7-9-2   0       1.29       -1.71
4/13HEpiscopal Academy8-53   9       ––-1.29       -5.56
4/19HGermantown Academy7-52   5       –-1.29       -3.35
4/21HPenncrest16-412   8       ++-1.29       4.38
4/24ALaSalle College HS6-7-1   2       –1.29       -2.87
4/27HMalvern Prep8-53   2       -1.29       0.71
5/01AEpiscopal Academy14-410   6       ++1.29       4.03
5/04HPenn Charter11-65   6       -1.29       -0.65
5/08AGermantown Academy11-83   3       1.29       0.24
5/09HLawrenceville13-85   2       +-1.16       3.44
5/11HChestnut Hill Academy18-315   19       ––-1.29       -4.12
5/12ARadnor8-44   4       1.29       -0.24
5/15APenn Charter11-56   3       +1.29       2.93
5/18AConestoga12-102   2       1.29       -0.12
5/25HSt Joseph's Prep14-410   10       -1.29       0.05
5/29NPenncrest14-59   6       +0.00       2.68
6/01NDowningtown East7-8-1   1       –0.00       -2.09
         0.006.69

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/03HSt Joseph's Prep14-2-2.05
4/21HPenncrest16-4-2.00
5/01AEpiscopal Academy14-40.00
5/11HChestnut Hill Academy18-34.12
5/25HSt Joseph's Prep14-4-0.05
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 197.   Natl CCR Rank 12
Natl Poll Vote 98.   Natl Poll Rank 14
Natl Power Rating 98.91   Natl Power Rank 9
Natl SOS Rating 98.83   Natl SOS Rank 5
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 197
W-L Pct Rating 0.79   W-L Pct Rank 276
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 19-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 1.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 8-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 2.6
Wins/Losses (top 20) 15-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.9
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 6.0

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