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Havre De Grace Warriors (3-11)

Region: MD 21 South

State: MD

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	NORTH EAST CECIL (1-12)	MD 21 South	62.5		W	10-	4		0.100
3/23	EDGEWOOD (9-5)	MD 32 North	84.0		L	1-	16		0.000
3/28	JOPPATOWNE (14-2)	MD 21 South	85.8		L	3-	15		0.000
3/30	HARFORD TECH (9-5)	MD 21 South	78.9		L	5-	11		-0.075
4/10	BOHEMIA MANOR (4-9)	MD 21 South	68.0		W	7-	3		0.200
4/13	at Aberdeen (6-8)	MD 32 North	75.3		L	3-	6		-0.075
4/18	at Edgewood (9-5)	MD 32 North	84.0		L	3-	14		0.000
4/20	JOPPATOWNE (14-2)	MD 21 South	85.8		L	2-	13		0.000
4/23	at Perryville (4-9)	MD 21 South	67.9		L	9-	10		-0.250
4/25	at Harford Tech (9-5)	MD 21 South	78.9		L	2-	11		-0.050
5/01	ABERDEEN (6-8)	MD 32 North	75.3		L	2-	13		-0.125
5/07	ELKTON (9-5)	MD 21 South	73.4		L	8-	9		-0.225
5/10	at North East Cecil (1-12)	MD 21 South	62.5		W	8-	5		0.125
5/12	at Poly-Baltimore (12-3)	MD 21 South	75.4		L	7-	14		-0.125
			74.7						-0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	H	North East Cecil	10-	4	6	6		-0.72	-0.34
3/23	H	Edgewood	1-	16	-15	-13	–	-0.72	-2.05
3/28	H	Joppatowne	3-	15	-12	-13		-0.72	1.18
3/30	H	Harford Tech	5-	11	-6	-7		-0.72	0.92
4/10	H	Bohemia Manor	7-	3	4	2	+	-0.72	2.01
4/13	A	Aberdeen	3-	6	-3	-7	+	0.72	3.73
4/18	A	Edgewood	3-	14	-11	-14	+	0.72	3.40
4/20	H	Joppatowne	2-	13	-11	-13	+	-0.72	2.18
4/23	A	Perryville	9-	10	-1	0		0.72	-0.67
4/25	A	Harford Tech	2-	11	-9	-8		0.72	-0.64
5/01	H	Aberdeen	2-	13	-11	-5	––	-0.72	-5.71
5/07	H	Elkton	8-	9	-1	-1		-0.72	0.21
5/10	A	North East Cecil	8-	5	3	5		0.72	-1.89
5/12	A	Poly-Baltimore	7-	14	-7	-5	–	0.72	-2.32
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	Edgewood	1-	16	2.05
3/28	H	Joppatowne	3-	15	-1.18
4/18	A	Edgewood	3-	14	-3.40
4/20	H	Joppatowne	2-	13	-2.18
5/01	H	Aberdeen	2-	13	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	2502
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	67.98		Natl Power Rank	2502
Natl SOS Rating	61.33		Natl SOS Rank	2438
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	2162
W-L Pct Rating	0.21		W-L Pct Rank	2198
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.7


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