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Hebron Academy Lumberjacks (12-4)

Region: NE North

State: ME

Coach: Jason Keough

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	vs. Winchendon # (4-9)	NE East-2	85.3		W	13-	7		0.075
4/20	at Gould Academy (0-11)	NE North	80.6		W	13-	2		0.000
4/22	vs. Kent's Hill # (2-6)	NE North	84.1		W	14-	2		0.050
4/25	NEW HAMPTON (3-9)	NE North	83.3		W	18-	3		0.000
4/26	HYDE-BATH (8-8)	NE North	89.7		W	15-	9		0.150
4/27	at Kent's Hill (2-6)	NE North	84.1		W	13-	6		0.075
5/02	TILTON SCHOOL (6-9)	NE North	88.6		W	13-	1		0.100
5/05	GOULD ACADEMY (0-11)	NE North	80.6		W	21-	2		0.000
5/07	NORTH YARMOUTH ACAD (17-2)	ME East-B	94.9		L	9-	10		-0.225
5/09	at Hyde-Bath (8-8)	NE North	89.7		W	9-	8		0.225
5/11	at Brewster Academy (13-1)	NE North	98.0	2	L	4-	12		-0.050
5/12	at Kimball Union (9-5)	NE East-1	94.9	9	L	5-	10		-0.150
5/16	GOULD ACADEMY (0-11)	NE North	80.6		W	13-	5		0.000
5/19	HYDE-BATH (8-8)	NE North	89.7		W	8-	4		0.150
5/23	vs. Lexington Christian # (6-7)	NE East-2	84.9		W	11-	3		0.025
5/25	BERWICK (12-7)	NE East-2	91.9		L	9-	11		-0.350
# Neutral site			85.8						0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	N	Winchendon	13-	7	6	7		0.00	-0.71
4/20	A	Gould Academy	13-	2	11	12		1.45	-0.94
4/22	N	Kent's Hill	14-	2	12	8	+	0.00	3.53
4/25	H	New Hampton	18-	3	15	12	+	-1.45	2.73
4/26	H	Hyde-Bath	15-	9	6	4		-1.45	1.64
4/27	A	Kent's Hill	13-	6	7	7		1.45	-0.03
5/02	H	Tilton School	13-	1	12	6	+++	-1.45	6.14
5/05	H	Gould Academy	21-	2	19	15	++	-1.45	4.16
5/07	H	North Yarmouth Acad	9-	10	-1	-1		-1.06		-0.46
5/09	A	Hyde-Bath	9-	8	1	1		1.45	-0.47
5/11	A	Brewster Academy	4-	12	-8	-8		1.45	-0.19
5/12	A	Kimball Union	5-	10	-5	-4		1.45	-1.33
5/16	H	Gould Academy	13-	5	8	15	–––	-1.45	-6.84
5/19	H	Hyde-Bath	8-	4	4	4		-1.45	-0.36
5/23	N	Lexington Christian	11-	3	8	9		0.00	-1.05
5/25	H	Berwick	9-	11	-2	4	–––	-1.45	-6.27
									0.00	-0.46

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/20	A	Gould Academy	13-	2	0.94
4/22	N	Kent's Hill	14-	2	-2.00
4/25	H	New Hampton	18-	3	-2.73
5/02	H	Tilton School	13-	1	-2.00
5/05	H	Gould Academy	21-	2	-4.16
10-goal correction: -0.62

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	277
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.29		Natl Power Rank	277
Natl SOS Rating	81.24		Natl SOS Rank	757
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1178
W-L Pct Rating	0.75		W-L Pct Rank	411
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-8.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	3.3


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