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The Heights Cavaliers (9-10)

Region: MD MILL

State: MD

Coach: Adam Chaudry

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/19	ST JOHNS DC (10-8)	DC WCAC	83.6		L	5-	6		-0.275
3/21	SIDWELL FRIENDS (10-6)	DC MAC	88.3	10	L	8-	9	ot	-0.225
3/24	OUR LADY-GOOD COUNSEL (11-8)	DC WCAC	91.3	4	L	5-	15		-0.100
3/27	at Eleanor Roosevelt (2-6)	MD MILL	75.5		W	10-	7		0.100
3/29	POTOMAC SCHOOL (5-11)	DC MAC	82.8		W	8-	7	ot	0.225
3/31	vs. Westminster # (12-6)	MD 43 North	88.6		L	1-	9		-0.125
3/31	at Wootton (18-1)	MD 43 West	91.5		L	3-	13		-0.025
4/03	at Calverton (9-9)	MD MILL	84.9		W	7-	6		0.325
4/10	at Gunston Day (4-11)	MD MILL	74.7		W	14-	2		0.075
4/14	vs. Our Lady-Good Counsel # (11-8)	DC WCAC	91.3	4	L	5-	13		-0.050
4/14	at McLean (5-11)	VA Liberty	87.5		W	8-	4		0.375
4/17	at Indian Creek School (3-7)	MD MILL	72.9		W	14-	1		0.000
4/18	ST JOHNS CATHOLIC PREP (5-11)	MD B MIAA	80.7		W	6-	5		0.125
4/21	SANDY SPRINGS FRIENDS (6-6)	MD MILL	80.2		W	7-	3		0.125
4/24	at Bullis (11-6)	DC IAC	93.0		L	3-	17		0.000
4/26	at Notre Dame Academy (18-2)	MD MILL	95.2	2	L	6-	15		0.000
4/28	at Georgetown Day (4-9)	DC MAC	77.2		W	11-	7		0.125
5/01	at St Stephen/St Agnes (16-5)	DC IAC	97.4		L	1-	19		0.000
5/08	CALVERTON (9-9)	MD MILL	84.9		L	4-	6		-0.250
# Neutral site			84.9						0.42

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/19	H	St Johns DC	5-	6	-1	1	–	-1.48	-2.29
3/21	H	Sidwell Friends	8-	9	-1	-1		-1.48	0.43
3/24	H	Our Lady-Good Counsel	5-	15	-10	-6	–	-1.48	-3.54
3/27	A	Eleanor Roosevelt	10-	7	3	6	–	1.48	-2.91
3/29	H	Potomac School	8-	7	1	1		-1.48	0.15
3/31	N	Westminster	1-	9	-8	-5	–	0.00		-3.42
3/31	A	Wootton	3-	13	-10	-9		1.10		-1.44
4/03	A	Calverton	7-	6	1	-3	+	1.48	3.52
4/10	A	Gunston Day	14-	2	12	7	++	1.48	5.34
4/14	N	Our Lady-Good Counsel	5-	13	-8	-8		0.00	-0.06
4/14	A	McLean	8-	4	4	-5	+++	1.34		8.84
4/17	A	Indian Creek School	14-	1	13	11	+	1.48	2.35
4/18	H	St Johns Catholic Prep	6-	5	1	5	–	-1.46		-3.74
4/21	H	Sandy Springs Friends	7-	3	4	5		-1.48	-0.69
4/24	A	Bullis	3-	17	-14	-10	–	1.41		-3.61
4/26	A	Notre Dame Academy	6-	15	-9	-10		1.48	1.28
4/28	A	Georgetown Day	11-	7	4	5		1.48	-1.13
5/01	A	St Stephen/St Agnes	1-	19	-18	-15	–	1.41		-3.22
5/08	H	Calverton	4-	6	-2	0	–	-1.48	-2.44
									0.00	-6.60

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Our Lady-Good Counsel	5-	15	0.00
3/31	A	Wootton	3-	13	0.00
4/10	A	Gunston Day	14-	2	-2.00
4/17	A	Indian Creek School	14-	1	-2.35
4/24	A	Bullis	3-	17	4.00
5/01	A	St Stephen/St Agnes	1-	19	3.22
10-goal correction: 0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1366
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	83.99		Natl Power Rank	1366
Natl SOS Rating	79.48		Natl SOS Rank	942
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.42		Natl Quality Win Rank	645
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1368
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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