High School Computer Ratings

Hempfield Knights (18-6)

Region: PA LL04

State: PA

Coach: Doug Bailey

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/14	LASALLE COLLEGE HS (26-2)	PA Cathol	98.6		L	2-	10	-0.125
3/23	at Central Catholic (15-3)	PA 1DNORTH	94.1		W	6-	5	0.350
3/28	at Manheim Township (26-1)	PA LL04	95.8	1	L	8-	11	-0.125
3/30	PENN MANOR (10-9)	PA LL04	81.6		W	16-	7	0.000
3/31	NORTH ALLEGHENY (13-6)	PA 1DNORTH	94.0		W	8-	7	0.250
4/05	at Ephrata (7-12)	PA LL04	78.7		W	16-	6	0.000
4/10	at Downingtown East (21-3)	PA Suburb	99.2		L	4-	14	-0.025
4/12	TATNALL (13-5)	DE IndCon	92.3		W	12-	7	0.225
4/14	at Easton (12-5)	PA PVLL-LV	91.4		W	7-	6	0.275
4/17	at Conestoga Valley (12-11)	PA LL04	83.4	9	W	14-	9	0.125
4/19	at Warwick (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	W	7-	2	0.200
4/21	at McDonogh (19-5)	MD A MIAA	98.0		L	2-	13	-0.075
4/24	at Downingtown West (16-6)	PA Suburb	95.0		W	9-	6	0.350
4/27	at Carlisle (13-5)	PA Mid 1	87.1	6	W	7-	5	0.175
5/01	CUMBERLAND VALLEY (15-4)	PA Mid 1	88.8	4	W	6-	5	0.150
5/04	ELIZABETHTOWN (1-12)	PA LL04	72.5		W	17-	1	0.000
5/08	COCALICO (15-5)	PA LL04	85.1	7	W	17-	2	0.000
5/10	LANCASTER COU DAY (1-15)	PA LL04	72.5		W	14-	0	0.000
5/12	at Lampeter-Strasburg (14-8)	PA LL04	83.2	10	W	13-	1	0.100
5/17	WARWICK (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	W	12-	5	0.125
5/19	at Manheim Township (26-1)	PA LL04	95.8	1	L	6-	15	-0.125
5/22	CENTRAL YORK (2-10)	PA York 1	70.5		W	22-	1	0.000
5/25	CONESTOGA VALLEY (12-11)	PA LL04	83.4	9	W	14-	8	0.050
5/30	at Manheim Township (26-1)	PA LL04	95.8	1	L	9-	12	-0.125
			88.1					1.77

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/14	H	LaSalle College HS	2-	10	-8	-5	–	-1.42		-2.91
3/23	A	Central Catholic	6-	5	1	-4	++	1.51		4.54
3/28	A	Manheim Township	8-	11	-3	-5	+	1.55	2.14
3/30	H	Penn Manor	16-	7	9	11	–	-1.55	-2.16
3/31	H	North Allegheny	8-	7	1	0		-1.51		1.41
4/05	A	Ephrata	16-	6	10	11		1.55	-1.11
4/10	A	Downingtown East	4-	14	-10	-9		1.42		-1.49
4/12	H	Tatnall	12-	7	5	1	++	-1.06		4.09
4/14	A	Easton	7-	6	1	-1		1.42		1.68
4/17	A	Conestoga Valley	14-	9	5	5		1.55	0.31
4/19	A	Warwick	7-	2	5	2	+	1.55	2.97
4/21	A	McDonogh	2-	13	-11	-7	–	1.44		-3.62
4/24	A	Downingtown West	9-	6	3	-4	+++	1.42		7.30
4/27	A	Carlisle	7-	5	2	3		1.55	-0.81
5/01	H	Cumberland Valley	6-	5	1	4	–	-1.55	-3.21
5/04	H	Elizabethtown	17-	1	16	19	–	-1.55	-2.56
5/08	H	Cocalico	17-	2	15	11	+	-1.55	3.92
5/10	H	Lancaster Cou Day	14-	0	14	17	–	-1.55	-3.17
5/12	A	Lampeter-Strasburg	13-	1	12	6	+++	1.55	6.02
5/17	H	Warwick	12-	5	7	5		-1.55	1.88
5/19	A	Manheim Township	6-	15	-9	-5	–	1.55	-3.86
5/22	H	Central York	22-	1	21	22		-1.55	-0.70
5/25	H	Conestoga Valley	14-	8	6	8		-1.55	-1.78
5/30	A	Manheim Township	9-	12	-3	-5	+	1.55	2.14
									0.00	11.00