| Region: VA Concord | State: VA | Coach: Bill Will |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
3/13 | SOUTH LAKES (4-8) | VA Liberty | 82.3 | | W | 17- | 7 | | 0.075 |
3/19 | at Wakefield HS (0-13) | VA Nationl | 67.9 | | W | 16- | 0 | | 0.000 |
3/21 | THOS JEFFERSON (7-7) | VA Liberty | 88.0 | | L | 7- | 11 | | -0.250 |
3/23 | at Yorktown (14-4) | VA Nationl | 92.0 | 7 | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.125 |
3/30 | at Fairfax (3-9) | VA Concord | 84.2 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.200 |
4/11 | at Westfield (15-6) | VA Concord | 93.8 | 2 | L | 7- | 14 | | -0.050 |
4/13 | CHANTILLY (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | L | 5- | 11 | | -0.175 |
4/17 | WASHINGTON-LEE (4-10) | VA Nationl | 78.9 | | W | 9- | 1 | | 0.025 |
4/19 | at Robinson (18-2) | VA Concord | 96.4 | 1 | L | 5- | 16 | | 0.000 |
4/27 | OAKTON (8-7) | VA Concord | 92.1 | 6 | L | 7- | 18 | | -0.125 |
5/01 | CENTREVILLE (4-9) | VA Concord | 83.8 | | W | 15- | 8 | | 0.125 |
5/07 | at Chantilly (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | L | 10- | 15 | | -0.100 |
| | 87.0 | | | | | | -0.40 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/13 | H | South Lakes | 17- | 7 | 10 | 7 | + | -1.19 | 3.41 | |
3/19 | A | Wakefield HS | 16- | 0 | 16 | 15 | | 1.19 | 1.10 | |
3/21 | H | Thos Jefferson | 7- | 11 | -4 | 0 | –– | -1.19 | -4.06 | |
3/23 | A | Yorktown | 4- | 10 | -6 | -5 | | 1.19 | -0.92 | |
3/30 | A | Fairfax | 11- | 3 | 8 | 2 | +++ | 1.19 | 6.28 | |
4/11 | A | Westfield | 7- | 14 | -7 | -8 | | 1.19 | 0.80 | |
4/13 | H | Chantilly | 5- | 11 | -6 | -3 | – | -1.19 | -2.60 | |
4/17 | H | Washington-Lee | 9- | 1 | 8 | 9 | | -1.19 | -1.10 | |
4/19 | A | Robinson | 5- | 16 | -11 | -11 | | 1.19 | -0.38 | |
4/27 | H | Oakton | 7- | 18 | -11 | -5 | –– | -1.19 | -5.59 | |
5/01 | H | Centreville | 15- | 8 | 7 | 5 | + | -1.19 | 2.29 | |
5/07 | A | Chantilly | 10- | 15 | -5 | -6 | | 1.19 | 0.78 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/13 | H | South Lakes | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
3/19 | A | Wakefield HS | 16- | 0 | -1.10 |
4/19 | A | Robinson | 5- | 16 | 0.38 |
4/27 | H | Oakton | 7- | 18 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.02 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 839 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.60 | | Natl Power Rank | 839 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 83.01 | | Natl SOS Rank | 563 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.40 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2019 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.42 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1627 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -0.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.0 |
|
