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Heuvelton Central Bulldogs (2-12)

Region: NY B Sec 10

State: NY

Coach: Tim Youngs

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	vs. Saranac Lake # (4-11)	NY C Sec 10	74.6	8	W	10-	6		0.200
3/28	at Watertown HS (11-8)	NY B Sec 3	91.2		L	2-	15		0.000
3/29	at Potsdam (12-6)	NY C Sec 10	86.8	2	L	5-	13		-0.025
4/03	at Canton Central (17-4)	NY C Sec 10	92.8	1	L	3-	10		0.000
4/20	vs. Salmon River # (5-9)	NY C Sec 10	79.6	5	L	7-	19		-0.200
4/24	ST LAWRENCE CENTRAL (9-8)	NY C Sec 10	81.4	4	L	6-	8		-0.250
4/26	CANTON CENTRAL (17-4)	NY C Sec 10	92.8	1	L	2-	13		0.000
5/01	SALMON RIVER (5-9)	NY C Sec 10	79.6	5	L	7-	9		-0.250
5/03	at Massena (10-7)	NY B Sec 10	85.0	3	L	15-	17		-0.025
5/08	at Saranac Lake (4-11)	NY C Sec 10	74.6	8	W	15-	11		0.275
5/12	at St Lawrence Central (9-8)	NY C Sec 10	81.4	4	L	6-	11		-0.150
5/14	at South Jefferson (10-8)	NY C Sec 3	92.8		L	3-	19		0.000
5/15	POTSDAM (12-6)	NY C Sec 10	86.8	2	L	4-	10		-0.125
5/17	MASSENA (10-7)	NY B Sec 10	85.0	3	L	2-	12		-0.125
# Neutral site			85.3						-0.67

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	N	Saranac Lake	10-	6	4	2	+	0.00	2.40
3/28	A	Watertown HS	2-	15	-13	-18	++	1.79		5.12
3/29	A	Potsdam	5-	13	-8	-9		2.10	0.89
4/03	A	Canton Central	3-	10	-7	-14	+++	2.10	7.39
4/20	N	Salmon River	7-	19	-12	-2	–––	0.00	-9.54
4/24	H	St Lawrence Central	6-	8	-2	0	–	-2.10	-2.35
4/26	H	Canton Central	2-	13	-11	-10		-2.10	-0.81
5/01	H	Salmon River	7-	9	-2	0		-2.10	-1.64
5/03	A	Massena	15-	17	-2	-9	+++	2.10	6.92
5/08	A	Saranac Lake	15-	11	4	-1	++	2.10	4.50
5/12	A	St Lawrence Central	6-	11	-5	-4		2.10	-1.15
5/14	A	South Jefferson	3-	19	-16	-20	+	1.79		3.72
5/15	H	Potsdam	4-	10	-6	-5		-2.10	-1.32
5/17	H	Massena	2-	12	-10	-5	––	-2.10	-5.29
									0.00	8.85

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	Watertown HS	2-	15	-5.12
4/20	N	Salmon River	7-	19	2.00
4/26	H	Canton Central	2-	13	1.00
5/14	A	South Jefferson	3-	19	-3.72
5/17	H	Massena	2-	12	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.42

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	2086
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.86		Natl Power Rank	2086
Natl SOS Rating	79.86		Natl SOS Rank	914
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.67		Natl Quality Win Rank	2365
W-L Pct Rating	0.14		W-L Pct Rank	2365
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-4.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-10.7


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