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Hickory Red Tornadoes (7-7)

Region: NC 3A/2A

State: NC

Coach: Mike Hall

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/06	EAST LINCOLN (0-7)	NC CHSCLC	70.4		W	10-	1		0.075
3/09	LAKE NORMAN (6-6)	NC CHSCLC	79.3		W	6-	5	ot	0.300
3/15	ARDREY KELL (3-12)	NC 4A	72.9		L	3-	4		-0.250
3/19	WEST FORSYTH (5-12)	NC 4A	74.9		L	2-	6		-0.225
3/21	R.J. REYNOLDS (6-10)	NC 4A	77.8		L	2-	10		-0.150
3/27	CHARLOTTE BUTLER (3-13)	NC 4A	72.8		W	5-	2		0.225
4/03	at Freedom-Morganton (4-9)	NC 4A	74.7		W	7-	6		0.300
4/05	at Lake Norman (6-6)	NC CHSCLC	79.3		W	5-	4	ot	0.400
4/19	at East Lincoln (0-7)	NC CHSCLC	70.4		W	6-	1		0.175
4/23	at West Forsyth (5-12)	NC 4A	74.9		L	6-	10		-0.175
4/24	MOUNT TABOR (9-9)	NC 4A	83.3		L	1-	12		-0.025
4/26	at R.J. Reynolds (6-10)	NC 4A	77.8		L	4-	8		-0.125
5/01	at Ardrey Kell (3-12)	NC 4A	72.9		W	7-	2		0.275
5/02	FREEDOM-MORGANTON (4-9)	NC 4A	74.7		L	5-	7		-0.225
			79.1						0.58

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	H	East Lincoln	10-	1	9	7	+	-1.87		2.40
3/09	H	Lake Norman	6-	5	1	-2	+	-1.87		3.34
3/15	H	Ardrey Kell	3-	4	-1	0		-0.74	-1.00
3/19	H	West Forsyth	2-	6	-4	-1	–	-0.74	-2.90
3/21	H	R.J. Reynolds	2-	10	-8	-4	––	-0.74	-4.05
3/27	H	Charlotte Butler	5-	2	3	1		-0.74	1.80
4/03	A	Freedom-Morganton	7-	6	1	-2	+	0.74	3.31
4/05	A	Lake Norman	5-	4	1	-6	+++	1.87		7.08
4/19	A	East Lincoln	6-	1	5	3	+	1.87		2.14
4/23	A	West Forsyth	6-	10	-4	-3		0.74	-1.43
4/24	H	Mount Tabor	1-	12	-11	-9	–	-0.74	-2.47
4/26	A	R.J. Reynolds	4-	8	-4	-5		0.74	1.42
5/01	A	Ardrey Kell	7-	2	5	-1	+++	0.74	6.48
5/02	H	Freedom-Morganton	5-	7	-2	-1		-0.74	-1.17
									0.00	14.96

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/24	H	Mount Tabor	1-	12	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	2148
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.12		Natl Power Rank	2148
Natl SOS Rating	67.50		Natl SOS Rank	2120
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.58		Natl Quality Win Rank	518
W-L Pct Rating	0.50		W-L Pct Rank	1305
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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