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Houston Mustangs (8-9)

Region: TN 1 WestState: TNCoach: Ed Reynolds

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/24at Birmingham-Hoover (10-4)AL84.1W12- 3 0.325  
2/24at Vestavia Hills (6-7)AL75.2W18- 1 0.100  
2/25at Mountain Brook (12-1)AL86.0L7- 8 -0.125  
3/03at Father Ryan (6-10)TN 1 West77.09W7- 3 0.225  
3/04at Univ School Nashville (6-9)TN 1 West74.610W15- 5 0.125  
3/06LAUSANNE COLLEGIATE (5-8)TN 2 West76.0W16- 7 0.050  
3/23at Christian Bros (11-8)TN 1 West88.55L8-18 -0.050  
3/26LINDBERGH (11-7)MO West86.4W8- 3 0.300  
3/30MONTGOMERY BELL ACAD (11-6)TN 1 East91.13L4-10 -0.050  
4/01RAVENWOOD (19-2)TN 1 East95.21L4-16 -0.025  
4/11at Memphis Univ School (15-5)TN 1 West91.52L6-15 0.000  
4/21FATHER RYAN (6-10)TN 1 West77.09W6- 1 0.150  
4/21vs. McCallie # (8-6)TN 1 East89.24L8-13 -0.025  
4/22vs. Farragut # (6-5)TN 1 East77.98W8- 7 0.125  
4/24MEMPHIS UNIV SCHOOL (15-5)TN 1 West91.52L6-12 -0.100  
4/27CHRISTIAN BROS (11-8)TN 1 West88.55L7-11 -0.150  
5/11at Montgomery Bell Acad (11-6)TN 1 East91.13L1-20 0.000  
# Neutral site 86.3     0.88  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/24ABirmingham-Hoover12-39   -3       +++0.98       11.83
2/24AVestavia Hills18-117   6       +++0.98       10.95
2/25AMountain Brook7-8-1   -5       +0.98       3.75
3/03AFather Ryan7-34   1       +1.94       3.42
3/04AUniv School Nashville15-510   5       ++1.94       5.38
3/06HLausanne Collegiate16-79   8       -2.14       0.62
3/23AChristian Bros8-18-10   -8       1.94       -1.97
3/26HLindbergh8-35   -2       +++-2.20       7.02
3/30HMontgomery Bell Acad4-10-6   -8       -1.94       1.56
4/01HRavenwood4-16-12   -9       –-1.94       -2.78
4/11AMemphis Univ School6-15-9   -10       1.94       0.86
4/21HFather Ryan6-15   4       -1.94       0.54
4/21NMcCallie8-13-5   -9       ++0.00       4.27
4/22NFarragut8-71   5       –0.00       -3.84
4/24HMemphis Univ School6-12-6   -6       -1.94       -0.02
4/27HChristian Bros7-11-4   -4       -1.94       0.15
5/11AMontgomery Bell Acad1-20-19   -11       –––1.94       -7.56
         0.0034.18

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/24AVestavia Hills18-1-7.00
3/04AUniv School Nashville15-50.00
3/23AChristian Bros8-180.00
4/01HRavenwood4-162.00
5/11AMontgomery Bell Acad1-207.56
10-goal correction: 0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 83.   Natl CCR Rank 1511
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 82.22   Natl Power Rank 1511
Natl SOS Rating 82.92   Natl SOS Rank 570
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.88   Natl Quality Win Rank 410
W-L Pct Rating 0.47   W-L Pct Rank 1417
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 8-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) -0.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -8.9
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-8   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -4.2
Wins/Losses (top 20) 4-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.2
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -9.7



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