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Howard Lions (9-6)

Region: MD 32 South

State: MD

Coach: Josh Bound

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Centennial (14-4)	MD 32 South	91.4		L	3-	7		-0.125
3/28	GLENELG HS (15-3)	MD 32 South	92.3	8	L	7-	9		-0.175
3/31	NORTH COUNTY (5-12)	MD 43 South	78.9		W	11-	7		0.075
3/31	SHERWOOD (7-9)	MD 43 West	81.3		W	14-	4		0.125
4/10	HAMMOND (7-7)	MD 32 South	82.6		W	18-	13		0.125
4/13	WILDE LAKE (6-10)	MD 32 South	82.1		L	4-	6		-0.350
4/14	at South Carroll (7-8)	MD 21 West	85.2		W	8-	6		0.225
4/17	at Reservoir (2-11)	MD 32 South	77.6		W	13-	10		0.125
4/18	at Chapelgate Christian (12-5)	MD C MIAA	88.1		W	17-	7		0.300
4/20	MARRIOTT'S RIDGE (6-12)	MD 21 North	80.2		W	19-	6		0.100
4/24	at Mount Hebron (12-6)	MD 32 South	90.8		L	11-	15		-0.100
4/26	at Atholton (7-6)	MD 32 South	84.6		L	10-	11	2ot	-0.275
5/04	at Oakland Mills (1-13)	MD 21 North	69.5		W	21-	7		0.000
5/05	LONG REACH (1-12)	MD 32 South	72.5		W	19-	3		0.000
5/10	at Mount Hebron (12-6)	MD 32 South	90.8		L	3-	15		-0.100
			83.4						-0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Centennial	3-	7	-4	-5		0.72	0.94
3/28	H	Glenelg HS	7-	9	-2	-3		-0.72	1.13
3/31	H	North County	11-	7	4	7	–	-0.72	-3.49
3/31	H	Sherwood	14-	4	10	5	++	-0.72	5.45
4/10	H	Hammond	18-	13	5	5		-0.72	0.14
4/13	H	Wilde Lake	4-	6	-2	4	–––	-0.72	-6.46
4/14	A	South Carroll	8-	6	2	1		0.72	1.00
4/17	A	Reservoir	13-	10	3	5		0.72	-1.98
4/18	A	Chapelgate Christian	17-	7	10	-2	+++	0.37		11.56
4/20	H	Marriott's Ridge	19-	6	13	6	+++	-0.72	6.76
4/24	A	Mount Hebron	11-	15	-4	-6		0.72	1.51
4/26	A	Atholton	10-	11	-1	1	–	0.72	-2.47
5/04	A	Oakland Mills	21-	7	14	13		0.72	0.52
5/05	H	Long Reach	19-	3	16	13	+	-0.72	3.45
5/10	A	Mount Hebron	3-	15	-12	-6	–––	0.72	-6.49
									0.00	11.56

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Sherwood	14-	4	0.00
4/18	A	Chapelgate Christian	17-	7	0.00
4/20	H	Marriott's Ridge	19-	6	-3.00
5/04	A	Oakland Mills	21-	7	-0.52
5/05	H	Long Reach	19-	3	-3.45
5/10	A	Mount Hebron	3-	15	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.33

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	87.		Natl CCR Rank	970
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.93		Natl Power Rank	970
Natl SOS Rating	76.33		Natl SOS Rank	1258
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	1427
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	889
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.0


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