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Heritage-Leesburg Pride (15-3)

Region: VA DullesState: VACoach: Jason Burke

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/14at Loudoun County (10-4)VA Dulles81.65W10- 6 0.225  
3/15at Osbourn (12-7)VA Cedar84.8L6- 7 -0.200  
3/19BRENTSVILLE (6-7)VA NoWest77.8W14- 7 0.050  
3/22LOUDOUN VALLEY (9-8)VA Dulles80.86W10- 8 0.150  
3/26at Liberty-Bealeton (3-11)VA NoWest75.2W17- 1 0.025  
3/29FREEDOM-SOUTH RIDING (2-12)VA Dulles72.3W16- 4 0.000  
4/09BROAD RUN (15-2)VA Dulles85.32L3- 9 -0.250  
4/12at Park View (0-12)VA Dulles66.4W18- 2 0.000  
4/18GEORGE MASON (6-7)VA Dulles77.910W13- 6 0.050  
4/19at Potomac Falls (7-6)VA Dulles78.39W15- 7 0.150  
4/23BRIAR WOODS (5-10)VA Dulles76.0W17- 7 0.000  
4/26at Dominion HS (7-9)VA Dulles76.7W20- 8 0.075  
4/30at J.E.B. Stuart (4-8)VA Nationl79.1W17- 6 0.150  
5/03LOUDOUN COUNTY (10-4)VA Dulles81.65W10- 7 0.125  
5/10BRIAR WOODS (5-10)VA Dulles76.0W11- 8 0.000  
5/14vs. Loudoun County # (10-4)VA Dulles81.65W14- 8 0.175  
5/16vs. Broad Run # (15-2)VA Dulles85.32W10- 9ot0.300  
5/22at Western Albemarle (13-5)VA Jeffsn88.21L10-19 -0.100  
# Neutral site 79.1     0.93  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/14ALoudoun County10-64   1       +1.92       3.06
3/15AOsbourn6-7-1   -2       1.81       1.20
3/19HBrentsville14-77   8       -1.92       -1.39
3/22HLoudoun Valley10-82   4       –-1.92       -2.46
3/26ALiberty-Bealeton17-116   9       +++1.92       7.37
3/29HFreedom-South Riding16-412   14       –-1.92       -2.15
4/09HBroad Run3-9-6   0       ––-1.92       -5.93
4/12APark View18-216   14       1.92       1.62
4/18HGeorge Mason13-67   8       -1.92       -1.20
4/19APotomac Falls15-78   4       +1.92       3.89
4/23HBriar Woods17-710   11       -1.92       -1.18
4/26ADominion HS20-812   7       ++1.92       5.45
4/30AJ.E.B. Stuart17-611   4       +++1.56       7.26
5/03HLoudoun County10-73   5       -1.92       -1.79
5/10HBriar Woods11-83   11       –––-1.92       -8.18
5/14NLoudoun County14-86   3       +0.00       3.14
5/16NBroad Run10-91   -2       +0.00       2.99
5/22AWestern Albemarle10-19-9   -6       –1.92       -3.24
         0.008.46

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/26ALiberty-Bealeton17-1-6.00
3/29HFreedom-South Riding16-42.15
4/12APark View18-2-1.62
4/23HBriar Woods17-71.18
4/26ADominion HS20-8-2.00
4/30AJ.E.B. Stuart17-6-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 85.   Natl CCR Rank 1303
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 84.43   Natl Power Rank 1303
Natl SOS Rating 68.65   Natl SOS Rank 2047
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.93   Natl Quality Win Rank 281
W-L Pct Rating 0.83   W-L Pct Rank 186
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.7
Wins/Losses (top 5) 4-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -0.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 7-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.8
Wins/Losses (top 20) 13-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.1
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.7



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