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Holly Springs Golden Hawks (3-14)

Region: NC 4A

State: NC

Coach: Doug Greenberg

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/02	WILMINGTON HOGGARD (15-6)	NC 4A	88.2	10	L	9-	17		0.000
3/06	at Cary HS (14-4)	NC 4A	90.2	9	L	0-	14		0.000
3/09	at Cary-Middle Creek (7-7)	NC 4A	83.7		L	2-	8		-0.025
3/13	GREEN HOPE (8-9)	NC 4A	84.5		L	3-	15		0.000
3/20	at W.G. Enloe (4-10)	NC 4A	74.1		L	8-	12		-0.225
3/22	at Wakefield (9-9)	NC 4A	82.7		L	4-	11		-0.025
3/27	WAKEFIELD (9-9)	NC 4A	82.7		L	5-	14		-0.075
3/29	at SouthEast Raleigh (10-7)	NC 4A	80.5		L	7-	11		-0.125
3/30	at Cary Academy (5-11)	NC Prvate	76.4		W	10-	7		0.350
4/10	at Broughton-Needham (10-8)	NC 4A	79.8		L	4-	5		-0.125
4/12	CARY ACADEMY (5-11)	NC Prvate	76.4		L	4-	5		-0.200
4/17	BROUGHTON-NEEDHAM (10-8)	NC 4A	79.8		L	6-	11		-0.150
4/20	SOUTHEAST RALEIGH (10-7)	NC 4A	80.5		L	3-	12		-0.150
4/24	at Garner (2-16)	NC 4A	68.5		W	11-	7		0.100
4/27	W.G. ENLOE (4-10)	NC 4A	74.1		L	7-	10		-0.250
5/01	GARNER (2-16)	NC 4A	68.5		W	16-	3		0.075
5/03	CARY-MIDDLE CREEK (7-7)	NC 4A	83.7		L	3-	10		-0.050
			81.7						-0.88

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/02	H	Wilmington Hoggard	9-	17	-8	-10	+	-0.74	2.29
3/06	A	Cary HS	0-	14	-14	-14		0.74	-0.49
3/09	A	Cary-Middle Creek	2-	8	-6	-9	+	0.74	3.11
3/13	H	Green Hope	3-	15	-12	-10	–	-0.74	-2.01
3/20	A	W.G. Enloe	8-	12	-4	-1	–	0.74	-2.94
3/22	A	Wakefield	4-	11	-7	-9		0.74	1.90
3/27	H	Wakefield	5-	14	-9	-7		-0.74	-1.58
3/29	A	SouthEast Raleigh	7-	11	-4	-5		0.74	1.23
3/30	A	Cary Academy	10-	7	3	-4	+++	1.20		7.41
4/10	A	Broughton-Needham	4-	5	-1	-5	++	0.74	4.21
4/12	H	Cary Academy	4-	5	-1	-2		-1.20		1.02
4/17	H	Broughton-Needham	6-	11	-5	-4		-0.74	-1.27
4/20	H	SouthEast Raleigh	3-	12	-9	-4	––	-0.74	-5.25
4/24	A	Garner	11-	7	4	6		0.74	-1.98
4/27	H	W.G. Enloe	7-	10	-3	0	–	-0.74	-3.42
5/01	H	Garner	16-	3	13	7	++	-0.74	5.55
5/03	H	Cary-Middle Creek	3-	10	-7	-8		-0.74	0.64
									0.00	8.43

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/06	A	Cary HS	0-	14	0.49
3/13	H	Green Hope	3-	15	2.00
5/01	H	Garner	16-	3	-3.00
10-goal correction: -0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	2204
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.18		Natl Power Rank	2204
Natl SOS Rating	73.10		Natl SOS Rank	1578
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.88		Natl Quality Win Rank	2582
W-L Pct Rating	0.18		W-L Pct Rank	2290
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.0


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