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Island Trees Bulldogs (9-8)

Region: NY B Sec 8

State: NY

Coach: Doug Rigo

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	ST DOMINIC (3-16)	NY Cath	78.0		W	16-	4		0.000
3/24	MACARTHUR-LEVITTOWN (12-6)	NY A Sec 8	95.5		L	4-	14		-0.100
3/29	MEPHAM (11-6)	NY B Sec 8	94.3		L	6-	10		-0.200
4/04	SEWANHAKA (7-9)	NY B Sec 8	87.9		W	11-	6		0.200
4/11	at Bethpage (10-8)	NY B Sec 8	94.4		L	5-	18		-0.075
4/14	FLORAL PARK (12-5)	NY B Sec 8	95.7		L	4-	17		-0.100
4/18	at Glen Cove (5-11)	NY B Sec 8	85.4		W	11-	6		0.175
4/20	GREAT NECK NORTH (5-10)	NY B Sec 8	86.2		W	16-	9		0.100
4/25	MINEOLA (7-9)	NY C Sec 8	87.0		W	19-	8		0.150
4/26	at Valley Stream Central (1-15)	NY A Sec 8	79.4		W	11-	3		0.050
4/28	at Cold Spring Harbor (17-2)	NY C Sec 8	98.3	3	L	6-	10		0.000
5/01	at New Hyde Park (10-7)	NY B Sec 8	90.5		W	15-	7		0.250
5/02	MALVERNE (6-11)	NY C Sec 8	89.2		L	1-	6		-0.275
5/05	SEAFORD (11-5)	NY B Sec 8	94.9		L	7-	10		-0.100
5/09	at Clarke (4-11)	NY B Sec 8	84.8		W	9-	7		0.200
5/11	at Wheatley (5-11)	NY C Sec 8	84.1		W	8-	4		0.150
5/18	at Carey (12-7)	NY B Sec 8	95.4		L	3-	16		-0.050
			85.5						0.37

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	H	St Dominic	16-	4	12	14	–	-1.24		-2.25
3/24	H	MacArthur-Levittown	4-	14	-10	-6	––	-1.13	-4.22
3/29	H	Mepham	6-	10	-4	-2	–	-1.13	-2.35
4/04	H	Sewanhaka	11-	6	5	2	+	-1.13	2.51
4/11	A	Bethpage	5-	18	-13	-7	–––	1.13	-6.34
4/14	H	Floral Park	4-	17	-13	-6	–––	-1.13	-6.69
4/18	A	Glen Cove	11-	6	5	3		1.13	1.85
4/20	H	Great Neck North	16-	9	7	6		-1.13	1.32
4/25	H	Mineola	19-	8	11	4	+++	-1.13	7.10
4/26	A	Valley Stream Central	11-	3	8	8		1.13	0.00
4/28	A	Cold Spring Harbor	6-	10	-4	-11	+++	1.13	7.40
5/01	A	New Hyde Park	15-	7	8	0	+++	1.13	7.63
5/02	H	Malverne	1-	6	-5	1	––	-1.13	-6.00
5/05	H	Seaford	7-	10	-3	-6	+	-1.13	2.83
5/09	A	Clarke	9-	7	2	2		1.13	-0.08
5/11	A	Wheatley	8-	4	4	4		1.13	0.02
5/18	A	Carey	3-	16	-13	-8	––	1.13	-5.00
									0.00	-2.25

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	St Dominic	16-	4	2.25
3/24	H	MacArthur-Levittown	4-	14	0.00
4/11	A	Bethpage	5-	18	3.00
4/14	H	Floral Park	4-	17	3.00
4/25	H	Mineola	19-	8	-1.00
5/18	A	Carey	3-	16	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.60

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	542
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.98		Natl Power Rank	542
Natl SOS Rating	80.53		Natl SOS Rank	837
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.37		Natl Quality Win Rank	743
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	1178
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-9.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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