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Ithaca Little Red (9-10)

Region: NY A Sec 4

State: NY

Coach: Frank Welch

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/29	ELMIRA-NOTRE DAME (8-8)	NY C Sec 4	82.3		W	12-	1		0.025
4/05	at Irondequoit (19-3)	NY A Sec 5	98.8		L	5-	11		-0.025
4/07	CORNING EAST (19-4)	NY C Sec 4	98.4	1	L	5-	6		-0.100
4/10	at Vestal (17-3)	NY A Sec 4	96.8	2	L	3-	6		-0.150
4/12	BINGHAMTON (3-17)	NY A Sec 4	82.8		W	14-	5		0.075
4/19	at Corning West (14-7)	NY B Sec 4	94.8	3	L	3-	7		-0.200
4/21	SHENENDEHOWA (9-10)	NY A Sec 2	90.4		W	7-	3		0.225
4/23	at Dryden (2-15)	NY C Sec 4	71.3		W	18-	0		0.000
4/24	HORSEHEADS (5-13)	NY A Sec 4	86.7	9	W	8-	6		0.125
4/26	at Corning East (19-4)	NY C Sec 4	98.4	1	L	3-	9		-0.050
5/01	at Union-Endicott (10-9)	NY A Sec 4	91.5	5	L	6-	7	ot	-0.250
5/03	VESTAL (17-3)	NY A Sec 4	96.8	2	L	4-	5	ot	-0.175
5/05	at Baldwinsville (16-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.5		L	3-	17		-0.050
5/07	at Binghamton (3-17)	NY A Sec 4	82.8		W	6-	4		0.125
5/12	JOHNSON CITY (6-11)	NY B Sec 4	80.7		W	14-	4		0.000
5/15	CORNING WEST (14-7)	NY B Sec 4	94.8	3	W	8-	4		0.250
5/17	at Horseheads (5-13)	NY A Sec 4	86.7	9	W	10-	9		0.175
5/21	UNION-ENDICOTT (10-9)	NY A Sec 4	91.5	5	L	8-	12		-0.300
5/30	at Union-Endicott (10-9)	NY A Sec 4	91.5	5	L	3-	4		-0.250
			89.8						-0.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/29	H	Elmira-Notre Dame	12-	1	11	9		-0.89	1.87
4/05	A	Irondequoit	5-	11	-6	-9	+	1.00		2.88
4/07	H	Corning East	5-	6	-1	-6	++	-0.89	5.38
4/10	A	Vestal	3-	6	-3	-4		0.89	1.39
4/12	H	Binghamton	14-	5	9	7		-0.89	1.95
4/19	A	Corning West	3-	7	-4	-2		0.89	-1.80
4/21	H	Shenendehowa	7-	3	4	1	+	-0.64		2.88
4/23	A	Dryden	18-	0	18	18		0.89	0.03
4/24	H	Horseheads	8-	6	2	5	–	-0.89	-3.11
4/26	A	Corning East	3-	9	-6	-8	+	0.89	2.15
5/01	A	Union-Endicott	6-	7	-1	0		0.89	-1.03
5/03	H	Vestal	4-	5	-1	-3		-0.89	1.61
5/05	A	Baldwinsville	3-	17	-14	-8	–––	1.18		-6.28
5/07	A	Binghamton	6-	4	2	5	–	0.89	-3.28
5/12	H	Johnson City	14-	4	10	10		-0.89	-0.43
5/15	H	Corning West	8-	4	4	0	++	-0.89	4.43
5/17	A	Horseheads	10-	9	1	3	–	0.89	-2.34
5/21	H	Union-Endicott	8-	12	-4	2	––	-0.89	-5.80
5/30	A	Union-Endicott	3-	4	-1	0		0.89	-1.03
									0.00	-0.52

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Elmira-Notre Dame	12-	1	-1.00
4/23	A	Dryden	18-	0	-0.03
5/05	A	Baldwinsville	3-	17	4.00
5/12	H	Johnson City	14-	4	0.43
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	92.		Natl CCR Rank	381
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.92		Natl Power Rank	381
Natl SOS Rating	89.39		Natl SOS Rank	169
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.55		Natl Quality Win Rank	2404
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1380
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	8-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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