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Jefferson Twp Falcons (15-4)

Conference: Pooley

Region: NJ Grp-I

State: NJ

Coach: Harry Shortway

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Clifton (5-12)	NJ Grp-IV	77.9		W	10-	2		0.025
4/05	BOONTON (8-9)	NJ Grp-I	83.8		W	12-	2		0.050
4/09	at Mendham (5-12)	NJ Grp-II	88.8		L	6-	9		-0.225
4/11	at Glen Rock (14-6)	NJ Grp-I	88.4		W	10-	4		0.200
4/14	LAWRENCE (6-8)	NJ Grp-III	82.2		W	18-	7		0.025
4/20	at DePaul Catholic (4-14)	NJ Grp-B	72.3		W	16-	1		0.000
4/21	at Montville (7-13)	NJ Grp-II	81.6		W	15-	5		0.100
4/24	at Morris Catholic (4-13)	NJ Grp-B	75.1		W	13-	1		0.000
4/27	MORRIS HILLS (5-10)	NJ Grp-II	73.7		W	14-	0		0.000
4/30	SPARTA (10-6)	NJ Grp-II	89.7		W	8-	7	ot	0.200
5/01	NORTH WARREN (7-10)	NJ Grp-I	84.3		W	16-	8		0.075
5/03	POPE JOHN XXIII (13-5)	NJ Grp-B	90.2		L	6-	8		-0.300
5/05	DWIGHT-ENGLEWOOD (5-9)	NJ Grp-B	80.3		W	10-	3		0.000
5/07	at West Morris Central (13-7)	NJ Grp-II	93.8		L	6-	9		-0.100
5/08	at Bergen Tech (1-16)	NJ Grp-IV	68.2		W	16-	2		0.000
5/10	at Wayne Valley (8-9)	NJ Grp-II	84.8		W	10-	7		0.125
5/12	VERONA (3-15)	NJ Grp-I	72.3		W	14-	1		0.000
5/15	VERNON TOWNSHIP (11-8)	NJ Grp-III	88.6		W	12-	10		0.175
5/22	HOPEWELL VALLEY (10-8)	NJ Grp-I	92.2		L	9-	17		-0.200
			79.1						0.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Clifton	10-	2	8	9		1.02	-0.85
4/05	H	Boonton	12-	2	10	8		-1.02	1.52
4/09	A	Mendham	6-	9	-3	-1	–	1.02	-2.02
4/11	A	Glen Rock	10-	4	6	2	++	1.02	4.28
4/14	H	Lawrence	18-	7	11	9	+	-1.02	2.47
4/20	A	DePaul Catholic	16-	1	15	13	+	1.02	2.27
4/21	A	Montville	15-	5	10	6	+	1.02	3.71
4/24	A	Morris Catholic	13-	1	12	10		1.02	1.92
4/27	H	Morris Hills	14-	0	14	14		-1.02	-0.11
4/30	H	Sparta	8-	7	1	2		-1.02	-0.85
5/01	H	North Warren	16-	8	8	7		-1.02	0.76
5/03	H	Pope John XXIII	6-	8	-2	2	–	-1.02	-3.94
5/05	H	Dwight-Englewood	10-	3	7	10	–	-1.02	-2.72
5/07	A	West Morris Central	6-	9	-3	-6	+	1.02	3.10
5/08	A	Bergen Tech	16-	2	14	14		1.02	0.35
5/10	A	Wayne Valley	10-	7	3	5		1.02	-1.88
5/12	H	Verona	14-	1	13	13		-1.02	-0.46
5/15	H	Vernon Township	12-	10	2	3		-1.02	-1.24
5/22	H	Hopewell Valley	9-	17	-8	-2	–––	-1.02	-6.33
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Boonton	12-	2	0.00
4/14	H	Lawrence	18-	7	-1.00
4/20	A	DePaul Catholic	16-	1	-2.27
4/21	A	Montville	15-	5	0.00
4/24	A	Morris Catholic	13-	1	-1.92
4/27	H	Morris Hills	14-	0	0.11
5/08	A	Bergen Tech	16-	2	-0.35
5/12	H	Verona	14-	1	0.46
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	499
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.71		Natl Power Rank	499
Natl SOS Rating	68.63		Natl SOS Rank	2051
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	1046
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	288
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-3.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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