| Region: NY A Sec 6 | State: NY | Coach: Jay Baehr |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/28 | A | Salamanca | 7- | 17 | -10 | -10 | | 1.39 | 0.40 | |
3/30 | H | Gowanda | 6- | 12 | -6 | -6 | | -1.39 | 0.00 | |
4/19 | H | Williamsville North | 1- | 16 | -15 | -15 | | -1.39 | -0.18 | |
4/21 | H | Silver Creek | 11- | 8 | 3 | 4 | | -1.39 | -0.77 | |
4/23 | A | Orchard Park | 0- | 17 | -17 | -25 | +++ | 1.39 | 8.28 | |
4/25 | A | North Tonawanda | 8- | 7 | 1 | 2 | | 1.39 | -0.51 | |
4/27 | H | Frontier | 2- | 17 | -15 | -17 | + | -1.39 | 2.44 | |
5/01 | H | Niagara Wheatfield | 3- | 19 | -16 | -21 | ++ | -1.39 | 5.09 | |
5/03 | H | West Seneca West | 5- | 15 | -10 | -9 | | -1.39 | -0.55 | |
5/07 | A | Clarence | 2- | 21 | -19 | -15 | | 1.39 | -3.93 | |
5/10 | H | Akron | 3- | 16 | -13 | -9 | | -1.39 | -3.84 | |
5/11 | A | Lancaster | 1- | 15 | -14 | -14 | | 1.39 | 0.13 | |
5/15 | A | Lockport | 0- | 8 | -8 | -8 | | 1.39 | 0.43 | |
5/16 | H | St Francis | 4- | 17 | -13 | -15 | + | -1.39 | 2.06 | |
5/22 | A | Akron | 4- | 16 | -12 | -12 | | 1.39 | -0.06 | |
5/23 | A | Silver Creek | 7- | 15 | -8 | 1 | | 1.39 | -8.99 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/28 | A | Salamanca | 7- | 17 | 0.00 |
4/19 | H | Williamsville North | 1- | 16 | 0.18 |
4/23 | A | Orchard Park | 0- | 17 | -8.28 |
4/27 | H | Frontier | 2- | 17 | -2.44 |
5/01 | H | Niagara Wheatfield | 3- | 19 | -5.09 |
5/03 | H | West Seneca West | 5- | 15 | 0.00 |
5/07 | A | Clarence | 2- | 21 | 3.93 |
5/10 | H | Akron | 3- | 16 | 3.00 |
5/11 | A | Lancaster | 1- | 15 | -0.13 |
5/16 | H | St Francis | 4- | 17 | -2.06 |
5/22 | A | Akron | 4- | 16 | 0.06 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.68 |
| National Rating |
| Natl CCR Rating | 72. | | Natl CCR Rank | 2356 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 72.15 | | Natl Power Rank | 2356 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 78.20 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1069 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.13 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 1577 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.12 | | W-L Pct Rank | 2404 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 2-14 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -10.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -15.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -15.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-10 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -14.4 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -11.0 |
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