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Johnson City Wildcats (6-11)

Region: NY B Sec 4

State: NY

Coach: Brad Bruce

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	at Cortland (18-3)	NY B Sec 3	97.8		L	0-	20		0.000
4/03	at Chenango Valley (13-5)	NY C Sec 4	88.0	8	L	4-	11		-0.125
4/05	at Dryden (2-15)	NY C Sec 4	71.3		W	12-	3		0.050
4/10	ONEONTA (0-16)	NY C Sec 4	69.6		W	17-	6		0.000
4/19	at Elmira-Notre Dame (8-8)	NY C Sec 4	82.3		L	3-	9		-0.200
4/21	at Owego Free Academy (11-8)	NY B Sec 4	85.4	10	L	4-	7		-0.125
4/24	CHENANGO FORKS (16-2)	NY B Sec 4	93.9	4	L	6-	13		-0.050
4/26	at Vestal (17-3)	NY A Sec 4	96.8	2	L	4-	13		0.000
4/28	SETON CATHOLIC CENTRAL (14-6)	NY B Sec 4	88.4	7	L	4-	15		-0.150
5/01	WHITNEY POINT (7-13)	NY C Sec 4	80.4		L	12-	17		-0.275
5/03	at Maine-Endwell (3-15)	NY B Sec 4	77.3		W	9-	6		0.225
5/08	OWEGO FREE ACADEMY (11-8)	NY B Sec 4	85.4	10	W	9-	8	ot	0.325
5/11	at Chenango Forks (16-2)	NY B Sec 4	93.9	4	L	6-	17		0.000
5/12	at Ithaca (9-10)	NY A Sec 4	90.9	6	L	4-	14		0.000
5/19	at Whitney Point (7-13)	NY C Sec 4	80.4		W	7-	3		0.275
5/22	MAINE-ENDWELL (3-15)	NY B Sec 4	77.3		W	9-	8	2ot	0.175
5/25	at Owego Free Academy (11-8)	NY B Sec 4	85.4	10	L	5-	9		-0.125
			84.7						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	A	Cortland	0-	20	-20	-18		1.18		-1.69
4/03	A	Chenango Valley	4-	11	-7	-5		0.89	-1.92
4/05	A	Dryden	12-	3	9	8		0.89	0.57
4/10	H	Oneonta	17-	6	11	10		-0.89	1.22
4/19	A	Elmira-Notre Dame	3-	9	-6	-2	–	0.89	-3.81
4/21	A	Owego Free Academy	4-	7	-3	-5		0.89	1.61
4/24	H	Chenango Forks	6-	13	-7	-8		-0.89	0.85
4/26	A	Vestal	4-	13	-9	-14	++	0.89	4.93
4/28	H	Seton Catholic Central	4-	15	-11	-4	–––	-0.89	-6.63
5/01	H	Whitney Point	12-	17	-5	1	––	-0.89	-5.86
5/03	A	Maine-Endwell	9-	6	3	1	+	0.89	2.21
5/08	H	Owego Free Academy	9-	8	1	-3	+	-0.89	3.84
5/11	A	Chenango Forks	6-	17	-11	-10		0.89	-1.38
5/12	A	Ithaca	4-	14	-10	-10		0.89	0.43
5/19	A	Whitney Point	7-	3	4	-1	++	0.89	4.91
5/22	H	Maine-Endwell	9-	8	1	3		-0.89	-1.57
5/25	A	Owego Free Academy	5-	9	-4	-5		0.89	0.61
									0.00	-1.69

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/28	A	Cortland	0-	20	1.69
4/10	H	Oneonta	17-	6	-1.22
4/28	H	Seton Catholic Central	4-	15	1.00
5/11	A	Chenango Forks	6-	17	1.00
5/12	A	Ithaca	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.14

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	1665
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	80.68		Natl Power Rank	1665
Natl SOS Rating	78.96		Natl SOS Rank	996
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	1276
W-L Pct Rating	0.35		W-L Pct Rank	1817
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-6.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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