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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Durham Jordan Falcons (11-9)

Region: NC 4AState: NCCoach: Jamie Sliwa

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/05at SouthEast Raleigh (10-7)NC 4A80.5W10- 2 0.100  
3/06W.G. ENLOE (4-10)NC 4A74.1W14- 4 0.000  
3/09ATHENS DRIVE (2-14)NC 4A77.1W12- 1 0.050  
3/12at Broughton-Needham (10-8)NC 4A79.8W9- 2 0.100  
3/13RAVENSCROFT SCHOOL (8-11)NC Prvate83.7W11- 5 0.150  
3/21at Western Alamance (6-12)NC 3A/2A79.8W12- 5 0.125  
3/23at Chapel Hill (22-4)NC 4A95.21L9-11 -0.050  
3/27at Durham Academy (7-9)NC Prvate84.4L5- 7 -0.275  
3/28LIBERTY-OLENTANGY (8-9)OH 1 Reg 290.6W9- 5 0.350  
3/30EAST CHAPEL HILL (17-5)NC 4A92.35L2- 8 -0.175  
4/04at Northern Durham (5-12)NC 4A76.5W14- 7 0.050  
4/11at Wilmington Laney (5-7)NC 4A81.2W10- 5 0.150  
4/12at Wilmington New Hanover (1-11)NC 4A72.4W20- 8 0.000  
4/17DURHAM RIVERSIDE (11-8)NC 4A88.0L8-11 -0.225  
4/20WILMINGTON HOGGARD (15-6)NC 4A88.210L9-10 -0.275  
4/24CHAPEL HILL (22-4)NC 4A95.21L6-13 -0.100  
4/27at East Chapel Hill (17-5)NC 4A92.35L9-18 -0.125  
5/01NORTHERN DURHAM (5-12)NC 4A76.5W14- 4 0.025  
5/03at Durham Riverside (11-8)NC 4A88.0L10-16 -0.175  
5/08at Cary HS (14-4)NC 4A90.29L7-10 -0.175  
 85.7     -0.48  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/05ASouthEast Raleigh10-28   6       +0.74       2.24
3/06HW.G. Enloe14-410   11       -0.74       -1.40
3/09HAthens Drive12-111   8       +-0.74       3.18
3/12ABroughton-Needham9-27   6       0.74       1.22
3/13HRavenscroft School11-56   4       +-1.20       2.19
3/21AWestern Alamance12-57   5       +0.74       2.44
3/23AChapel Hill9-11-2   -8       ++0.74       5.76
3/27ADurham Academy5-7-2   1       1.20       -2.70
3/28HLiberty-Olentangy9-54   -4       +++-0.81       7.56
3/30HEast Chapel Hill2-8-6   -3       -0.74       -2.79
4/04ANorthern Durham14-77   8       0.74       -0.57
4/11AWilmington Laney10-55   4       0.74       1.27
4/12AWilmington New Hanover20-812   12       0.74       0.37
4/17HDurham Riverside8-11-3   -1       -0.74       -1.97
4/20HWilmington Hoggard9-10-1   1       -0.74       -1.69
4/24HChapel Hill6-13-7   -6       -0.74       -0.72
4/27AEast Chapel Hill9-18-9   -5       ––0.74       -4.31
5/01HNorthern Durham14-410   9       -0.74       0.95
5/03ADurham Riverside10-16-6   -3       0.74       -3.50
5/08ACary HS7-10-3   -3       0.74       -0.47
         0.007.05

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/06HW.G. Enloe14-41.40
3/09HAthens Drive12-1-1.00
4/12AWilmington New Hanover20-8-0.37
5/01HNorthern Durham14-40.00
10-goal correction: 0.00

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 88.   Natl CCR Rank 886
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 86.27   Natl Power Rank 886
Natl SOS Rating 80.72   Natl SOS Rank 817
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.48   Natl Quality Win Rank 2255
W-L Pct Rating 0.55   W-L Pct Rank 1088
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 11-9   Ave Goal diff (all ) 2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -6.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-7   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -5.1
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-8   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -4.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.3



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