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Kent Denver Sun Devils (16-2)

Region: CO South

State: CO

Coach: Tom Graesser

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/10	CHEYENNE MOUNTAIN (12-4)	CO South	89.3		W	16-	6		0.050
3/12	REGIS JESUIT (15-3)	CO Contl	96.2	5	W	10-	8		0.175
3/16	at W.J. Palmer (7-8)	CO South	82.2		W	13-	0		0.000
4/04	at Denver East (11-7)	CO South	91.0	9	W	10-	5		0.175
4/07	DENVER SOUTH (4-10)	CO South	78.1		W	15-	1		0.000
4/10	at Heritage (9-9)	CO Contl	90.9	10	W	11-	5		0.225
4/11	AIR ACADEMY (10-6)	CO South	88.5		W	14-	2		0.075
4/18	GEORGE WASHINGTON (9-6)	CO South	82.4		W	8-	1		0.000
4/19	MULLEN (13-4)	CO Centenn	95.1	6	W	10-	6		0.200
4/21	vs. Cherry Creek # (13-4)	CO Centenn	97.4	3	L	4-	12		-0.250
4/23	at Fort Collins Unified (15-4)	CO Foothil	97.9	2	W	5-	4		0.250
4/25	COLORADO ACADEMY (13-2)	CO South	91.4	7	W	16-	6		0.075
4/27	ARAPAHOE (14-3)	CO Contl	97.0	4	W	11-	3		0.225
4/28	at Lewis Palmer (9-8)	CO South	83.3		W	6-	4		0.000
5/08	MOUNTAIN VISTA (10-6)	CO Contl	90.5		W	13-	6		0.100
5/12	vs. Mullen # (13-4)	CO Centenn	95.1	6	W	10-	5		0.225
5/16	vs. Arapahoe # (14-3)	CO Contl	97.0	4	W	7-	6	2ot	0.250
5/19	vs. Fort Collins Unified # (15-4)	CO Foothil	97.9	2	L	6-	7		-0.250
# Neutral site			92.7						1.52

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/10	H	Cheyenne Mountain	16-	6	10	8		-0.59	1.57
3/12	H	Regis Jesuit	10-	8	2	3		-0.59	-0.86
3/16	A	W.J. Palmer	13-	0	13	13		0.59	-0.01
4/04	A	Denver East	10-	5	5	3		0.59	1.65
4/07	H	Denver South	15-	1	14	18	–	-0.59	-3.89
4/10	A	Heritage	11-	5	6	1	++	0.59	4.54
4/11	H	Air Academy	14-	2	12	7	++	-0.59	4.50
4/18	H	George Washington	8-	1	7	15	–––	-0.59	-7.88
4/19	H	Mullen	10-	6	4	2	+	-0.59	2.02
4/21	N	Cherry Creek	4-	12	-8	0	–––	0.00	-7.55
4/23	A	Fort Collins Unified	5-	4	1	0		0.59	1.40
4/25	H	Colorado Academy	16-	6	10	7	+	-0.59	2.53
4/27	H	Arapahoe	11-	3	8	1	+++	-0.59	7.15
4/28	A	Lewis Palmer	6-	4	2	12	–––	0.59	-9.69
5/08	H	Mountain Vista	13-	6	7	6		-0.59	1.36
5/12	N	Mullen	10-	5	5	1	+	0.00	3.61
5/16	N	Arapahoe	7-	6	1	0		0.00	0.74
5/19	N	Fort Collins Unified	6-	7	-1	0		0.00	-1.19
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/10	H	Cheyenne Mountain	16-	6	0.00
3/16	A	W.J. Palmer	13-	0	0.01
4/07	H	Denver South	15-	1	3.89
4/11	H	Air Academy	14-	2	-2.00
4/25	H	Colorado Academy	16-	6	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.11

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	195.		Natl CCR Rank	28
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	35
Natl Power Rating	98.55		Natl Power Rank	21
Natl SOS Rating	95.42		Natl SOS Rank	31
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.52		Natl Quality Win Rank	100
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	86
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	9-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	2.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	12-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	4.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.7


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