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Kellenberg Firebirds (6-13)

Region: NY Cath

State: NY

Coach: John Fechtmann

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Farmingdale (15-4)	NY A Sec 8	98.1		L	2-	15		0.000
3/23	at Long Beach (14-4)	NY A Sec 8	97.5		L	8-	12		0.000
3/24	at Hicksville (13-5)	NY A Sec 8	96.2		L	3-	8		0.000
3/28	at Baldwin (12-6)	NY A Sec 8	96.8		L	9-	12		0.000
3/31	at St John Baptist (9-9)	NY Cath	89.6	4	L	10-	13		-0.200
4/03	ST MARY'S (8-11)	NY Cath	84.7	6	W	18-	7		0.100
4/05	at Holy Trinity (10-7)	NY Cath	90.9	3	W	10-	9	2ot	0.300
4/09	at Somers (17-4)	NY B Sec 1	95.6		L	5-	10		0.000
4/13	at Locust Valley (6-10)	NY C Sec 8	91.3		L	5-	7		-0.100
4/20	ST ANTHONY'S (14-3)	NY Cath	97.9	2	L	4-	12		-0.100
4/24	at Chaminade (14-3)	NY Cath	99.2	1	L	4-	14		0.000
5/02	at St Anthony's (14-3)	NY Cath	97.9	2	L	4-	12		-0.050
5/04	ST JOHN BAPTIST (9-9)	NY Cath	89.6	4	W	8-	7		0.225
5/08	ST DOMINIC (3-16)	NY Cath	78.0	7	W	17-	2		0.000
5/09	CHAMINADE (14-3)	NY Cath	99.2	1	L	2-	11		-0.075
5/11	at St Dominic (3-16)	NY Cath	78.0	7	W	11-	5		0.050
5/15	at St Mary's (8-11)	NY Cath	84.7	6	W	12-	4		0.175
5/17	HOLY TRINITY (10-7)	NY Cath	90.9	3	L	9-	10	ot	-0.250
5/20	ST JOHN BAPTIST (9-9)	NY Cath	89.6	4	L	4-	13		-0.275
			91.8						-0.20

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Farmingdale	2-	15	-13	-12		1.24		-0.61
3/23	A	Long Beach	8-	12	-4	-12	+++	1.24		7.73
3/24	A	Hicksville	3-	8	-5	-10	++	1.24		5.43
3/28	A	Baldwin	9-	12	-3	-11	+++	1.24		8.06
3/31	A	St John Baptist	10-	13	-3	-2		1.35	-1.27
4/03	H	St Mary's	18-	7	11	6	++	-1.35	5.20
4/05	A	Holy Trinity	10-	9	1	-2	+	1.35	3.38
4/09	A	Somers	5-	10	-5	-10	++	1.26		4.88
4/13	A	Locust Valley	5-	7	-2	-6	+	1.24		3.54
4/20	H	St Anthony's	4-	12	-8	-6	–	-1.35	-2.22
4/24	A	Chaminade	4-	14	-10	-10		1.35	-0.23
5/02	A	St Anthony's	4-	12	-8	-8		1.35	0.48
5/04	H	St John Baptist	8-	7	1	1		-1.35	0.03
5/08	H	St Dominic	17-	2	15	10	++	-1.35	4.62
5/09	H	Chaminade	2-	11	-9	-7		-1.35	-1.93
5/11	A	St Dominic	11-	5	6	8		1.35	-1.68
5/15	A	St Mary's	12-	4	8	3	++	1.35	4.89
5/17	H	Holy Trinity	9-	10	-1	0		-1.35	-1.32
5/20	H	St John Baptist	4-	13	-9	1	–––	-1.35	-9.97
									0.00	29.04

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/21	A	Farmingdale	2-	15	0.61
4/03	H	St Mary's	18-	7	-1.00
4/24	A	Chaminade	4-	14	0.00
5/08	H	St Dominic	17-	2	-4.62
10-goal correction: -0.26

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	89.		Natl CCR Rank	813
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.97		Natl Power Rank	813
Natl SOS Rating	94.68		Natl SOS Rank	38
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.20		Natl Quality Win Rank	1919
W-L Pct Rating	0.32		W-L Pct Rank	1916
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-7		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	6-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.7


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