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Key School Obezags (3-14)

Region: MD B MIAA

State: MD

Coach: Derek Lieske

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/08	at Georgetown Day (4-9)	DC MAC	76.8		L	9-	11		-0.175
3/12	at Chapelgate Christian (12-5)	MD C MIAA	88.8		L	10-	17		0.000
3/14	INDIAN CREEK SCHOOL (3-7)	MD MILL	72.7		W	15-	1		0.150
3/22	TOWSON CATHOLIC (7-9)	MD C MIAA	84.0		W	9-	8		0.450
3/24	at Archbishop Curley (17-1)	MD B MIAA	93.9	1	L	2-	18		0.000
3/26	JOHN CARROLL (7-9)	MD B MIAA	82.1	5	L	4-	18		-0.025
3/28	at Glenelg Country (8-10)	MD B MIAA	81.3	7	L	7-	13		-0.050
3/29	at Sts Peter & Paul (13-6)	MD B MIAA	87.4	3	L	4-	12		0.000
4/03	at John Carroll (7-9)	MD B MIAA	82.1	5	L	4-	18		0.000
4/10	at Annapolis Area Christn (6-10)	MD B MIAA	81.6	6	L	5-	16		-0.025
4/12	at Jemicy School (0-11)	MD Indep	67.1		W	16-	4		0.100
4/13	JOHN CARROLL (7-9)	MD B MIAA	82.1	5	L	5-	15		-0.025
4/20	ARCHBISHOP CURLEY (17-1)	MD B MIAA	93.9	1	L	1-	13		0.000
4/24	at Park School (11-3)	MD B MIAA	88.5	2	L	1-	18		0.000
4/27	GLENELG COUNTRY (8-10)	MD B MIAA	81.3	7	L	8-	11		-0.125
4/30	ST JOHNS CATHOLIC PREP (5-11)	MD B MIAA	80.7	8	L	4-	14		-0.100
5/01	STS PETER & PAUL (13-6)	MD B MIAA	87.4	3	L	6-	14		0.000
			85.3						0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/08	A	Georgetown Day	9-	11	-2	-3		1.46		1.38
3/12	A	Chapelgate Christian	10-	17	-7	-15	+++	0.72		7.60
3/14	H	Indian Creek School	15-	1	14	4	+++	-1.46		10.33
3/22	H	Towson Catholic	9-	8	1	-8	+++	-0.72		9.36
3/24	A	Archbishop Curley	2-	18	-16	-17		1.44	1.46
3/26	H	John Carroll	4-	18	-14	-9	––	-1.44	-4.87
3/28	A	Glenelg Country	7-	13	-6	-8		1.44	1.76
3/29	A	Sts Peter & Paul	4-	12	-8	-14	++	1.44	5.77
4/03	A	John Carroll	4-	18	-14	-12		1.44	-1.99
4/10	A	Annapolis Area Christn	5-	16	-11	-9		1.44	-1.78
4/12	A	Jemicy School	16-	4	12	6	++	1.46		5.70
4/13	H	John Carroll	5-	15	-10	-9		-1.44	-0.87
4/20	H	Archbishop Curley	1-	13	-12	-15	+	-1.44	2.59
4/24	A	Park School	1-	18	-17	-14	–	1.44	-2.82
4/27	H	Glenelg Country	8-	11	-3	-5		-1.44	1.89
4/30	H	St Johns Catholic Prep	4-	14	-10	-6	––	-1.44	-4.04
5/01	H	Sts Peter & Paul	6-	14	-8	-11	+	-1.44	2.89
									0.00	34.37

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/14	H	Indian Creek School	15-	1	-4.00
3/24	A	Archbishop Curley	2-	18	-1.46
3/26	H	John Carroll	4-	18	4.00
4/03	A	John Carroll	4-	18	1.99
4/10	A	Annapolis Area Christn	5-	16	1.00
4/12	A	Jemicy School	16-	4	-2.00
4/13	H	John Carroll	5-	15	0.00
4/20	H	Archbishop Curley	1-	13	-2.59
4/24	A	Park School	1-	18	2.82
4/30	H	St Johns Catholic Prep	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	2116
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.91		Natl Power Rank	2116
Natl SOS Rating	80.60		Natl SOS Rank	824
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	1085
W-L Pct Rating	0.18		W-L Pct Rank	2281
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-14		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.4
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-12		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-12		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.0


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