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Worthington Kilbourne Wolves (15-7)

Conference: MIDWEST

Region: OH 1 Reg 2

State: OH

Coach: Mike Riffee

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	vs. Archbishop Moeller # (16-5)	OH 1 Reg 4	96.7	5	W	12-	7		0.275
3/28	at Westerville South (7-11)	OH 1 Reg 2	88.2		W	15-	8		0.075
4/04	at Cincinnati St Xavier (15-6)	OH 1 Reg 4	94.8	7	L	2-	5		-0.250
4/06	at Dublin Coffman (11-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	93.2		W	7-	5		0.225
4/11	at Dublin Scioto (11-9)	OH 1 Reg 2	92.9		W	13-	10		0.250
4/13	BIRMINGHAM-SEAHOLM (11-10)	MI 1	90.2		W	6-	3		0.075
4/14	DETROIT COUNTRY DAY (12-10)	MI 2	90.1		W	13-	5		0.075
4/20	at Hudson (19-1)	OH 1 Reg 3	97.5	3	L	8-	13		-0.200
4/25	at Upper Arlington (20-1)	OH 1 Reg 1	98.8	1	L	3-	11		-0.075
4/27	CLEVELAND ST IGNATIUS (11-13)	OH 1 Reg 3	91.5		W	13-	12		0.175
5/02	at Hilliard Darby (2-15)	OH 1 Reg 1	84.7		W	18-	8		0.025
5/05	DUBLIN JEROME (16-5)	OH 1 Reg 2	96.9	4	W	10-	9		0.275
5/08	at Columbus St Charles (12-5)	OH 1 Reg 2	93.4	10	L	8-	10		-0.250
5/11	THOMAS WORTHINGTON (11-9)	OH 1 Reg 1	92.7		W	13-	7		0.175
5/14	HILLIARD DAVIDSON (0-15)	OH 1 Reg 2	83.9		W	11-	6		0.000
5/16	at Liberty-Olentangy (8-9)	OH 1 Reg 2	89.8		W	19-	7		0.125
5/19	vs. Western Reserve Acad # (16-3)	OH 1 Indep	98.5	2	L	6-	16		-0.075
5/20	at Brother Rice (22-1)	MI 1	98.2		L	8-	13		-0.175
5/22	WESTERVILLE CENTRAL (8-8)	OH 1 Reg 2	86.0		W	13-	4		0.000
5/24	DUBLIN SCIOTO (11-9)	OH 1 Reg 2	92.9		W	9-	8		0.200
5/26	DUBLIN JEROME (16-5)	OH 1 Reg 2	96.9	4	W	10-	8		0.275
5/30	at Hudson (19-1)	OH 1 Reg 3	97.5	3	L	4-	8		-0.200
# Neutral site			90.5						1.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	N	Archbishop Moeller	12-	7	5	-1	+++	0.00	6.19
3/28	A	Westerville South	15-	8	7	7		0.87	-0.14
4/04	A	Cincinnati St Xavier	2-	5	-3	0	–	0.87	-2.65
4/06	A	Dublin Coffman	7-	5	2	1		0.87	1.02
4/11	A	Dublin Scioto	13-	10	3	0	+	0.87	2.88
4/13	H	Birmingham-Seaholm	6-	3	3	7	––	-1.27		-4.28
4/14	H	Detroit Country Day	13-	5	8	7		-1.27		0.65
4/20	A	Hudson	8-	13	-5	-2	–	0.87	-3.24
4/25	A	Upper Arlington	3-	11	-8	-7		0.87	-1.31
4/27	H	Cleveland St Ignatius	13-	12	1	3	–	-0.87	-2.42
5/02	A	Hilliard Darby	18-	8	10	9		0.87	1.20
5/05	H	Dublin Jerome	10-	9	1	-1	+	-0.87	2.12
5/08	A	Columbus St Charles	8-	10	-2	0	–	0.87	-2.26
5/11	H	Thomas Worthington	13-	7	6	3	+	-0.87	2.98
5/14	H	Hilliard Davidson	11-	6	5	11	––	-0.87	-5.88
5/16	A	Liberty-Olentangy	19-	7	12	5	+++	0.87	7.21
5/19	N	Western Reserve Acad	6-	16	-10	-7	–	0.00	-3.38
5/20	A	Brother Rice	8-	13	-5	-3		1.27		-1.69
5/22	H	Westerville Central	13-	4	9	11	–	-0.87	-2.38
5/24	H	Dublin Scioto	9-	8	1	2		-0.87	-0.86
5/26	H	Dublin Jerome	10-	8	2	-1	+	-0.87	3.12
5/30	A	Hudson	4-	8	-4	-2	–	0.87	-2.24
									0.00	-5.32

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/02	A	Hilliard Darby	18-	8	0.00
5/16	A	Liberty-Olentangy	19-	7	-2.00
5/19	N	Western Reserve Acad	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	98
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	96.22		Natl Power Rank	96
Natl SOS Rating	90.49		Natl SOS Rank	117
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	233
W-L Pct Rating	0.68		W-L Pct Rank	631
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	5-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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