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Lake Brantley Patriots (18-4)

Region: FL 4B CentrlState: FLCoach: Brian Theiss

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
2/12at Matanzas (18-6)FL 3B Centrl88.19W12- 4 0.100  
2/16vs. Saint Andrews # (22-4)FL Dist-396.0W8- 7 0.300  
2/17at Lake Mary (11-6)FL 4B Centrl87.210W13- 6 0.100  
2/20at Lake Highland Prep (13-5)FL 7B Centrl91.36W12- 5 0.200  
2/22at Lyman (5-12)FL 4B Centrl78.8W18- 6 0.000  
2/23at Timber Creek (14-3)FL 9B Centrl92.34W9- 5 0.200  
3/03vs. Gulliver Prep # (13-8)FL Dist-189.5W11- 6 0.125  
3/06vs. Nease # (15-8)FL 3B Centrl92.05L9-13 -0.275  
3/08at Boone (11-8)FL 6B Centrl85.3W13- 2 0.000  
3/13vs. Boys' Latin # (18-2)MD A MIAA99.7L2-16 -0.125  
3/20at Lake Howell (7-7)FL 5B Centrl84.5W13- 3 0.025  
3/21SEMINOLE (2-12)FL 4B Centrl77.3W21- 2 0.000  
3/24WEST ORANGE (5-13)FL 8B Centrl78.5W17- 0 0.000  
3/27WINTER SPRINGS (12-3)FL 5B Centrl93.82W8- 5 0.225  
3/29WINTER PARK (19-6)FL 6B Centrl93.53L7-10 -0.275  
3/30at Bishop Moore (11-8)FL 7B Centrl90.08W15-13 0.175  
4/03OVIEDO (10-8)FL 5B Centrl86.6W13- 3 0.000  
4/11SEMINOLE (2-12)FL 4B Centrl77.3W21- 0 0.000  
4/13LAKE MARY (11-6)FL 4B Centrl87.210W20-11 0.000  
4/17vs. Lake Highland Prep # (13-5)FL 7B Centrl91.36W10- 1 0.175  
4/20vs. Nease # (15-8)FL 3B Centrl92.05W11-10 0.225  
4/27vs. Winter Park # (19-6)FL 6B Centrl93.53L6- 9 -0.250  
# Neutral site 87.3     0.93  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
2/12AMatanzas12-48   6       +1.59       2.18
2/16NSaint Andrews8-71   -2       +0.00       2.65
2/17ALake Mary13-67   6       1.59       0.65
2/20ALake Highland Prep12-57   2       ++1.59       5.36
2/22ALyman18-612   16       1.59       -3.51
2/23ATimber Creek9-54   2       +1.59       2.40
3/03NGulliver Prep11-65   5       0.00       0.19
3/06NNease9-13-4   1       ––0.00       -5.44
3/08ABoone13-211   10       1.59       1.09
3/13NBoys' Latin2-16-14   -5       –––0.00       -8.65
3/20ALake Howell13-310   9       1.59       0.73
3/21HSeminole21-219   20       -1.59       -1.05
3/24HWest Orange17-017   19       -1.59       -2.40
3/27HWinter Springs8-53   1       +-1.59       2.14
3/29HWinter Park7-10-3   1       ––-1.59       -4.25
3/30ABishop Moore15-132   3       1.59       -1.00
4/03HOviedo13-310   10       -1.59       0.01
4/11HSeminole21-021   20       -1.59       0.95
4/13HLake Mary20-119   10       -1.59       -0.53
4/17NLake Highland Prep10-19   3       ++0.00       5.77
4/20NNease11-101   1       0.00       -0.44
4/27NWinter Park6-9-3   0       0.00       -2.66
         0.00-5.81

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
2/22ALyman18-63.51
3/08ABoone13-2-1.09
3/13NBoys' Latin2-164.00
3/20ALake Howell13-30.00
3/21HSeminole21-21.05
3/24HWest Orange17-02.40
4/03HOviedo13-3-0.01
4/11HSeminole21-0-0.95
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 94.   Natl CCR Rank 240
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 94.35   Natl Power Rank 240
Natl SOS Rating 84.45   Natl SOS Rank 442
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.93   Natl Quality Win Rank 274
W-L Pct Rating 0.82   W-L Pct Rank 215
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 18-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 6.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 3-3   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -0.3
Wins/Losses (top 10) 9-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 3.3
Wins/Losses (top 20) 12-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.3



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