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Lafayette Lancers (16-4)

Conference: OSHL3

Region: NY C Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Mike Riese

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/27	WESTHILL (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	93.2		W	14-	6		0.100
3/31	BALDWINSVILLE (16-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.5	5	W	11-	10		0.250
4/03	at Onondaga Central (12-7)	NY C Sec 3	94.5		W	11-	8		0.175
4/09	MANLIUS-PEBBLE HILL (1-17)	NY C Sec 3	81.4		W	18-	3		0.000
4/10	vs. Watertown IHC # (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	94.6		W	12-	7		0.125
4/12	vs. Christian Bros # (21-2)	NY C Sec 3	98.4	3	L	5-	8		-0.200
4/20	at Penn Yan (16-7)	NY C Sec 5	97.0		W	10-	9		0.275
4/24	MARCELLUS (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	92.1		W	14-	9		0.075
4/28	CAZENOVIA CENTRAL (12-8)	NY C Sec 3	94.3		W	8-	7		0.100
4/30	TULLY (14-6)	NY C Sec 3	94.6		L	8-	9		-0.400
5/02	at Jordan-Elbridge (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	92.4		W	16-	10		0.175
5/04	at Skaneateles (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	96.4	10	L	9-	15		-0.225
5/08	ONONDAGA CENTRAL (12-7)	NY C Sec 3	94.5		W	13-	2		0.100
5/10	at Tully (14-6)	NY C Sec 3	94.6		W	12-	5		0.175
5/14	at Manlius-Pebble Hill (1-17)	NY C Sec 3	81.4		W	18-	5		0.000
5/16	CHRISTIAN BROS (21-2)	NY C Sec 3	98.4	3	W	14-	10		0.275
5/18	BISHOP LUDDEN (4-12)	NY C Sec 3	87.7		W	16-	3		0.000
5/24	CAZENOVIA CENTRAL (12-8)	NY C Sec 3	94.3		W	14-	6		0.100
5/26	vs. Skaneateles # (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	96.4	10	W	9-	8		0.250
5/30	vs. Christian Bros # (21-2)	NY C Sec 3	98.4	3	L	9-	10		-0.200
# Neutral site			88.3						1.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/27	H	Westhill	14-	6	8	6	+	-1.48	2.45
3/31	H	Baldwinsville	11-	10	1	0		-1.48	1.05
4/03	A	Onondaga Central	11-	8	3	3		1.48	0.35
4/09	H	Manlius-Pebble Hill	18-	3	15	18	–	-1.48	-2.93
4/10	N	Watertown IHC	12-	7	5	5		0.00	0.07
4/12	N	Christian Bros	5-	8	-3	-2		0.00	-0.70
4/20	A	Penn Yan	10-	9	1	-1	+	1.30		2.07
4/24	H	Marcellus	14-	9	5	7	–	-1.48	-2.24
4/28	H	Cazenovia Central	8-	7	1	6	––	-1.48	-4.84
4/30	H	Tully	8-	9	-1	6	–––	-1.48	-7.08
5/02	A	Jordan-Elbridge	16-	10	6	3	+	1.48	2.57
5/04	A	Skaneateles	9-	15	-6	-1	––	1.48	-5.00
5/08	H	Onondaga Central	13-	2	11	6	++	-1.48	5.39
5/10	A	Tully	12-	5	7	3	+	1.48	3.88
5/14	A	Manlius-Pebble Hill	18-	5	13	15		1.48	-1.96
5/16	H	Christian Bros	14-	10	4	-1	++	-1.48	4.81
5/18	H	Bishop Ludden	16-	3	13	13		-1.48	0.19
5/24	H	Cazenovia Central	14-	6	8	6	+	-1.48	2.16
5/26	N	Skaneateles	9-	8	1	0		0.00	0.52
5/30	N	Christian Bros	9-	10	-1	-2		0.00	1.30
									0.00	2.07

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	Manlius-Pebble Hill	18-	3	2.93
5/08	H	Onondaga Central	13-	2	-1.00
5/14	A	Manlius-Pebble Hill	18-	5	1.96
5/18	H	Bishop Ludden	16-	3	-0.19
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	97.		Natl CCR Rank	70
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	97.26		Natl Power Rank	66
Natl SOS Rating	86.15		Natl SOS Rank	324
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	179
W-L Pct Rating	0.80		W-L Pct Rank	265
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	2-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	0.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.7
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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