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Lafayette Lancers (16-4)

Conference: OSHL3Region: NY C Sec 3State: NYCoach: Mike Riese

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

Lafayette (NY) Keeps Writing Impressive Script

In the movie Hoosiers, a small school in Indiana captures the state championship despite having only a handful of players at a school with little enrollment.   [full story]

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/27WESTHILL (9-10)NY C Sec 393.2W14- 6 0.100  
3/31BALDWINSVILLE (16-5)NY A Sec 397.55W11-10 0.250  
4/03at Onondaga Central (12-7)NY C Sec 394.5W11- 8 0.175  
4/09MANLIUS-PEBBLE HILL (1-17)NY C Sec 381.4W18- 3 0.000  
4/10vs. Watertown IHC # (15-6)NY C Sec 394.6W12- 7 0.125  
4/12vs. Christian Bros # (21-2)NY C Sec 398.43L5- 8 -0.200  
4/20at Penn Yan (16-7)NY C Sec 597.0W10- 9 0.275  
4/24MARCELLUS (9-10)NY C Sec 392.1W14- 9 0.075  
4/28CAZENOVIA CENTRAL (12-8)NY C Sec 394.3W8- 7 0.100  
4/30TULLY (14-6)NY C Sec 394.6L8- 9 -0.400  
5/02at Jordan-Elbridge (9-10)NY C Sec 392.4W16-10 0.175  
5/04at Skaneateles (15-6)NY C Sec 396.410L9-15 -0.225  
5/08ONONDAGA CENTRAL (12-7)NY C Sec 394.5W13- 2 0.100  
5/10at Tully (14-6)NY C Sec 394.6W12- 5 0.175  
5/14at Manlius-Pebble Hill (1-17)NY C Sec 381.4W18- 5 0.000  
5/16CHRISTIAN BROS (21-2)NY C Sec 398.43W14-10 0.275  
5/18BISHOP LUDDEN (4-12)NY C Sec 387.7W16- 3 0.000  
5/24CAZENOVIA CENTRAL (12-8)NY C Sec 394.3W14- 6 0.100  
5/26vs. Skaneateles # (15-6)NY C Sec 396.410W9- 8 0.250  
5/30vs. Christian Bros # (21-2)NY C Sec 398.43L9-10 -0.200  
# Neutral site 88.3     1.15  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/27HWesthill14-68   6       +-1.48       2.45
3/31HBaldwinsville11-101   0       -1.48       1.05
4/03AOnondaga Central11-83   3       1.48       0.35
4/09HManlius-Pebble Hill18-315   18       –-1.48       -2.93
4/10NWatertown IHC12-75   5       0.00       0.07
4/12NChristian Bros5-8-3   -2       0.00       -0.70
4/20APenn Yan10-91   -1       +1.30       2.07
4/24HMarcellus14-95   7       –-1.48       -2.24
4/28HCazenovia Central8-71   6       ––-1.48       -4.84
4/30HTully8-9-1   6       –––-1.48       -7.08
5/02AJordan-Elbridge16-106   3       +1.48       2.57
5/04ASkaneateles9-15-6   -1       ––1.48       -5.00
5/08HOnondaga Central13-211   6       ++-1.48       5.39
5/10ATully12-57   3       +1.48       3.88
5/14AManlius-Pebble Hill18-513   15       1.48       -1.96
5/16HChristian Bros14-104   -1       ++-1.48       4.81
5/18HBishop Ludden16-313   13       -1.48       0.19
5/24HCazenovia Central14-68   6       +-1.48       2.16
5/26NSkaneateles9-81   0       0.00       0.52
5/30NChristian Bros9-10-1   -2       0.00       1.30
         0.002.07

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/09HManlius-Pebble Hill18-32.93
5/08HOnondaga Central13-2-1.00
5/14AManlius-Pebble Hill18-51.96
5/18HBishop Ludden16-3-0.19
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 97.   Natl CCR Rank 70
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 97.26   Natl Power Rank 66
Natl SOS Rating 86.15   Natl SOS Rank 324
Natl Quality Win Rating 1.15   Natl Quality Win Rank 179
W-L Pct Rating 0.80   W-L Pct Rank 265
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 16-4   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.6
Wins/Losses (top 5) 2-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) 0.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 3-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -0.7
Wins/Losses (top 20) 10-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 2.7



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