| Region: FL 4B Centrl | State: FL | Coach: Shawn Perkins |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Rank | Score | | COR |
|---|
2/15 | SAINT EDWARDS (6-11) | FL Dist-4 | 74.4 | | W | 13- | 5 | | 0.000 |
2/17 | LAKE BRANTLEY (18-4) | FL 4B Centrl | 94.3 | 1 | L | 6- | 13 | | -0.100 |
2/20 | at Bolles (14-3) | FL 2B Centrl | 91.1 | 7 | L | 8- | 20 | | -0.125 |
2/22 | LAKE HOWELL (7-7) | FL 5B Centrl | 84.5 | | W | 15- | 12 | | 0.125 |
3/02 | at Timber Creek (14-3) | FL 9B Centrl | 92.3 | 4 | L | 8- | 12 | | -0.100 |
3/06 | SEMINOLE (2-12) | FL 4B Centrl | 77.3 | | W | 16- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/07 | WEST ORANGE (5-13) | FL 8B Centrl | 78.5 | | W | 11- | 5 | | 0.000 |
3/19 | FLAGLER PALM COAST (6-8) | FL 3B Centrl | 81.5 | | W | 15- | 4 | | 0.050 |
3/22 | LAKE HIGHLAND PREP (13-5) | FL 7B Centrl | 91.3 | 6 | L | 10- | 12 | | -0.175 |
3/23 | WINTER SPRINGS (12-3) | FL 5B Centrl | 93.8 | 2 | L | 7- | 16 | | -0.075 |
3/26 | OLYMPIA (7-9) | FL 7B Centrl | 83.8 | | W | 11- | 6 | | 0.125 |
3/30 | at Oviedo (10-8) | FL 5B Centrl | 86.6 | | W | 13- | 12 | | 0.275 |
3/31 | at Lyman (5-12) | FL 4B Centrl | 78.8 | | W | 11- | 3 | | 0.050 |
4/02 | at Boone (11-8) | FL 6B Centrl | 85.3 | | W | 11- | 8 | | 0.200 |
4/05 | at University (2-13) | FL 9B Centrl | 76.2 | | W | 20- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/11 | LYMAN (5-12) | FL 4B Centrl | 78.8 | | W | 14- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/13 | at Lake Brantley (18-4) | FL 4B Centrl | 94.3 | 1 | L | 11- | 20 | | 0.000 |
| | 83.5 | | | | | | 0.25 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/15 | H | Saint Edwards | 13- | 5 | 8 | 14 | –– | -1.23 | | -5.97 |
2/17 | H | Lake Brantley | 6- | 13 | -7 | -6 | | -1.59 | -0.65 | |
2/20 | A | Bolles | 8- | 20 | -12 | -5 | ––– | 1.59 | -7.46 | |
2/22 | H | Lake Howell | 15- | 12 | 3 | 5 | | -1.59 | -1.50 | |
3/02 | A | Timber Creek | 8- | 12 | -4 | -6 | + | 1.59 | 2.34 | |
3/06 | H | Seminole | 16- | 4 | 12 | 12 | | -1.59 | -0.10 | |
3/07 | H | West Orange | 11- | 5 | 6 | 11 | –– | -1.59 | -5.46 | |
3/19 | H | Flagler Palm Coast | 15- | 4 | 11 | 8 | + | -1.59 | 3.29 | |
3/22 | H | Lake Highland Prep | 10- | 12 | -2 | -3 | | -1.59 | 1.13 | |
3/23 | H | Winter Springs | 7- | 16 | -9 | -7 | | -1.59 | -1.92 | |
3/26 | H | Olympia | 11- | 6 | 5 | 5 | | -1.59 | 0.11 | |
3/30 | A | Oviedo | 13- | 12 | 1 | -1 | + | 1.59 | 2.13 | |
3/31 | A | Lyman | 11- | 3 | 8 | 8 | | 1.59 | 0.43 | |
4/02 | A | Boone | 11- | 8 | 3 | 2 | | 1.59 | 1.03 | |
4/05 | A | University | 20- | 2 | 18 | 10 | +++ | 1.59 | 7.84 | |
4/11 | H | Lyman | 14- | 5 | 9 | 11 | | -1.59 | -1.74 | |
4/13 | A | Lake Brantley | 11- | 20 | -9 | -10 | | 1.59 | 0.53 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -5.97 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/20 | A | Bolles | 8- | 20 | 2.00 |
3/06 | H | Seminole | 16- | 4 | 0.10 |
3/19 | H | Flagler Palm Coast | 15- | 4 | -1.00 |
4/05 | A | University | 20- | 2 | -7.84 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.40 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 88. | | Natl CCR Rank | 923 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 87.18 | | Natl Power Rank | 923 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 76.91 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1191 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.25 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 858 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.65 | | W-L Pct Rank | 735 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 11-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.1 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.0 |
|
