| Region: VA Liberty | State: VA | Coach: Earl Brewer |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/21 | CHANTILLY (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | W | 6- | 3 | | 0.200 |
3/23 | at Lake Braddock (4-11) | VA Patriot | 85.9 | | W | 14- | 3 | | 0.125 |
3/27 | at McLean (5-11) | VA Liberty | 85.9 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.125 |
3/30 | at Thos Jefferson (7-7) | VA Liberty | 88.0 | | W | 7- | 5 | | 0.175 |
4/02 | APEX (15-5) | NC 4A | 92.8 | | W | 7- | 3 | | 0.225 |
4/09 | SOUTH LAKES (4-8) | VA Liberty | 82.3 | | W | 17- | 1 | | 0.000 |
4/24 | at Stone Bridge (4-9) | VA Liberty | 82.1 | | W | 17- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/26 | WOODSON (14-6) | VA Liberty | 93.1 | 3 | L | 4- | 10 | | -0.275 |
4/30 | at Madison (11-6) | VA Liberty | 91.0 | 9 | W | 8- | 7 | | 0.225 |
5/01 | at Marshall (2-10) | VA Liberty | 78.9 | | W | 12- | 1 | | 0.000 |
5/02 | LANDON (15-5) | DC IAC | 97.5 | | L | 2- | 10 | | -0.175 |
5/07 | STONE BRIDGE (4-9) | VA Liberty | 82.1 | | W | 14- | 2 | | 0.000 |
5/09 | vs. Madison # (11-6) | VA Liberty | 91.0 | 9 | W | 4- | 3 | | 0.200 |
5/11 | vs. Woodson # (14-6) | VA Liberty | 93.1 | 3 | L | 7- | 9 | | -0.250 |
5/15 | EDISON (6-10) | VA Nationl | 82.7 | | W | 17- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/17 | CHANTILLY (9-8) | VA Concord | 91.5 | 8 | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.300 |
| # Neutral site | | 87.6 | | | | | | 0.28 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/21 | H | Chantilly | 6- | 3 | 3 | 2 | | -1.19 | 0.69 | |
3/23 | A | Lake Braddock | 14- | 3 | 11 | 5 | ++ | 1.19 | 5.93 | |
3/27 | A | McLean | 12- | 5 | 7 | 5 | + | 1.19 | 2.39 | |
3/30 | A | Thos Jefferson | 7- | 5 | 2 | 3 | | 1.19 | -1.38 | |
4/02 | H | Apex | 7- | 3 | 4 | 1 | + | -0.96 | | 2.86 |
4/09 | H | South Lakes | 17- | 1 | 16 | 12 | + | -1.19 | 3.71 | |
4/24 | A | Stone Bridge | 17- | 2 | 15 | 10 | ++ | 1.19 | 4.84 | |
4/26 | H | Woodson | 4- | 10 | -6 | 1 | ––– | -1.19 | -7.32 | |
4/30 | A | Madison | 8- | 7 | 1 | 1 | | 1.19 | 0.28 | |
5/01 | A | Marshall | 12- | 1 | 11 | 13 | | 1.19 | -1.57 | |
5/02 | H | Landon | 2- | 10 | -8 | -3 | –– | -1.26 | | -4.79 |
5/07 | H | Stone Bridge | 14- | 2 | 12 | 13 | | -1.19 | -0.54 | |
5/09 | N | Madison | 4- | 3 | 1 | 2 | | 0.00 | -0.91 | |
5/11 | N | Woodson | 7- | 9 | -2 | 0 | – | 0.00 | -2.12 | |
5/15 | H | Edison | 17- | 5 | 12 | 13 | | -1.19 | -0.69 | |
5/17 | H | Chantilly | 7- | 8 | -1 | 2 | – | -1.19 | -3.31 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | -1.93 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/23 | A | Lake Braddock | 14- | 3 | -1.00 |
4/09 | H | South Lakes | 17- | 1 | -3.71 |
4/24 | A | Stone Bridge | 17- | 2 | -4.84 |
5/01 | A | Marshall | 12- | 1 | 1.57 |
5/07 | H | Stone Bridge | 14- | 2 | 0.54 |
5/15 | H | Edison | 17- | 5 | 0.69 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.42 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 94. | | Natl CCR Rank | 250 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 93.02 | | Natl Power Rank | 250 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 84.05 | | Natl SOS Rank | 473 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.28 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 855 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.75 | | W-L Pct Rank | 435 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 4.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -4.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 3-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 6-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.0 |
|
