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Lawrence Academy Spartans (7-10)

Region: NE ISL

State: MA

Coach: Jonathan Tower

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	vs. Tilton School # (6-9)	NE North	88.6		W	14-	13	ot	0.225
4/11	WINCHENDON (4-9)	NE East-2	85.3		W	16-	15	ot	0.125
4/14	at St George's (9-10)	NE ISL	91.4		W	6-	5	3ot	0.325
4/21	THE GOVERNOR'S ACADEMY (15-2)	NE ISL	98.2	1	L	3-	14		-0.025
4/23	GROTON SCHOOL (1-14)	NE ISL	83.7		W	13-	4		0.075
4/25	MIDDLESEX (11-4)	NE ISL	95.9	6	L	3-	11		-0.125
4/28	at Milton Academy (7-8)	NE ISL	92.1		L	8-	10		-0.125
4/30	at St Mark's (4-11)	NE ISL	88.2		W	8-	5		0.250
5/02	at Belmont Hill (15-1)	NE ISL	97.4	3	L	6-	17		-0.025
5/05	at Thayer Academy (11-6)	NE ISL	94.2		L	4-	12		-0.125
5/07	ST SEBASTIAN (11-6)	NE ISL	94.7		L	5-	11		-0.175
5/09	BROOKS SCHOOL (10-7)	NE ISL	94.0		W	8-	7		0.325
5/12	at Roxbury Latin (0-15)	NE ISL	82.9		W	12-	3		0.125
5/16	at Rivers (10-6)	NE ISL	94.2		L	7-	8		-0.100
5/19	at Noble & Greenough (12-4)	NE ISL	95.7	7	L	6-	13		-0.075
5/21	ST PAUL'S (5-11)	NE ISL	89.7		L	4-	12		-0.225
5/23	at Buckingham, B&N (3-14)	NE ISL	85.3		L	7-	8		-0.275
# Neutral site			90.0						0.17

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	N	Tilton School	14-	13	1	1		0.00	0.00
4/11	H	Winchendon	16-	15	1	5	–	-1.45	-3.74
4/14	A	St George's	6-	5	1	-3	+	1.45	3.93
4/21	H	The Governor's Academy	3-	14	-11	-9	–	-1.45	-2.26
4/23	H	Groton School	13-	4	9	7	+	-1.45	2.04
4/25	H	Middlesex	3-	11	-8	-5	–	-1.45	-2.56
4/28	A	Milton Academy	8-	10	-2	-5	+	1.45	2.78
4/30	A	St Mark's	8-	5	3	0	+	1.45	3.19
5/02	A	Belmont Hill	6-	17	-11	-9	–	1.45	-2.44
5/05	A	Thayer Academy	4-	12	-8	-5	–	1.45	-2.91
5/07	H	St Sebastian	5-	11	-6	-3	–	-1.45	-2.84
5/09	H	Brooks School	8-	7	1	-3	++	-1.45	4.31
5/12	A	Roxbury Latin	12-	3	9	5	++	1.45	4.44
5/16	A	Rivers	7-	8	-1	-6	++	1.45	5.17
5/19	A	Noble & Greenough	6-	13	-7	-7		1.45	0.43
5/21	H	St Paul's	4-	12	-8	-1	–––	-1.45	-7.21
5/23	A	Buckingham, B&N	7-	8	-1	1	–	1.45	-2.34
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/21	H	The Governor's Academy	3-	14	1.00
5/02	A	Belmont Hill	6-	17	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	90.		Natl CCR Rank	667
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	89.84		Natl Power Rank	667
Natl SOS Rating	89.50		Natl SOS Rank	163
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.17		Natl Quality Win Rank	1006
W-L Pct Rating	0.41		W-L Pct Rank	1638
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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