High School Computer Ratings

Lawrenceville Big Red (17-1)

Conference: Pitt

Region: NJ Private

State: NJ

Coach: A. Fitzpatrick

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/31	MERCERSBURG ACADEMY (2-12)	PA Indep	86.5		W	15-	5	0.000
4/06	vs. Hotchkiss # (10-3)	NE 1 West	96.8		W	6-	5	0.200
4/11	BRIDGEWATER-RARITAN (7-9)	NJ Grp-IV	92.2		W	12-	8	0.075
4/13	at Moorestown (10-7)	NJ Grp-II	92.6		W	10-	3	0.100
4/21	vs. Radnor # (12-11)	PA Centrl	94.7		W	10-	2	0.150
4/22	CHOATE (6-8)	NE 1 West	91.8		W	9-	4	0.050
4/25	HUNTERDON CENTRAL (17-5)	NJ Grp-IV	96.3	6	W	11-	9	0.200
4/27	at Brunswick School (7-7)	NE 1 West	92.8		W	11-	8	0.125
4/28	at Ridgewood (17-5)	NJ Grp-III	95.8	8	W	9-	5	0.200
4/30	BLAIR ACADEMY (6-10)	NJ Private	85.2		W	17-	5	0.000
5/02	CHRISTIAN BROS (14-6)	NJ Grp-A	93.8		W	4-	2	0.075
5/05	HILL SCHOOL (7-7)	PA Indep	93.2		W	10-	0	0.100
5/07	at Hun School (14-6)	NJ Private	93.0		W	15-	6	1.100
5/09	at Haverford School (19-5)	PA IAC	99.2		L	8-	13	-0.200
5/12	at Penn Charter (14-12)	PA IAC	95.4		W	8-	7	0.200
5/14	PRINCETON HS (10-6)	NJ Grp-II	92.8		W	14-	4	0.050
5/18	at Peddie School (7-10)	NJ Private	90.7		W	13-	3	0.075
5/21	NORTH HUNTERDON (3-15)	NJ Grp-III	87.0		W	16-	3	0.000
# Neutral site			90.3					2.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	H	Mercersburg Academy	15-	5	10	13	–	-1.16		-3.17
4/06	N	Hotchkiss	6-	5	1	2		0.00		-0.73
4/11	H	Bridgewater-Raritan	12-	8	4	7	–	-1.02	-2.95
4/13	A	Moorestown	10-	3	7	6		1.02	1.12
4/21	N	Radnor	10-	2	8	4	++	0.00		4.16
4/22	H	Choate	9-	4	5	8	–	-1.09		-2.78
4/25	H	Hunterdon Central	11-	9	2	2		-1.02	-0.18
4/27	A	Brunswick School	11-	8	3	5		1.09		-1.61
4/28	A	Ridgewood	9-	5	4	2	+	1.02	2.10
4/30	H	Blair Academy	17-	5	12	17	––	-1.02	-4.79
5/02	H	Christian Bros	4-	2	2	7	––	-1.02	-4.76
5/05	H	Hill School	10-	0	10	6	+	-1.16		3.57
5/07	A	Hun School	15-	6	9	6	+	1.02	3.36
5/09	A	Haverford School	8-	13	-5	-2	–	1.16		-3.15
5/12	A	Penn Charter	8-	7	1	2		1.16		-0.91
5/14	H	Princeton HS	14-	4	10	8		-1.02	1.77
5/18	A	Peddie School	13-	3	10	7	+	1.02	3.02
5/21	H	North Hunterdon	16-	3	13	12		-1.02	1.32
									0.00	-4.62