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Lawrenceville Big Red (17-1)

Conference: Pitt

Region: NJ Private

State: NJ

Coach: A. Fitzpatrick

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	MERCERSBURG ACADEMY (2-12)	PA Indep	86.5		W	15-	5		0.000
4/06	vs. Hotchkiss # (10-3)	NE 1 West	96.8		W	6-	5		0.200
4/11	BRIDGEWATER-RARITAN (7-9)	NJ Grp-IV	92.2		W	12-	8		0.075
4/13	at Moorestown (10-7)	NJ Grp-II	92.6		W	10-	3		0.100
4/21	vs. Radnor # (12-11)	PA Centrl	94.7		W	10-	2		0.150
4/22	CHOATE (6-8)	NE 1 West	91.8		W	9-	4		0.050
4/25	HUNTERDON CENTRAL (17-5)	NJ Grp-IV	96.3	6	W	11-	9		0.200
4/27	at Brunswick School (7-7)	NE 1 West	92.8		W	11-	8		0.125
4/28	at Ridgewood (17-5)	NJ Grp-III	95.8	8	W	9-	5		0.200
4/30	BLAIR ACADEMY (6-10)	NJ Private	85.2		W	17-	5		0.000
5/02	CHRISTIAN BROS (14-6)	NJ Grp-A	93.8		W	4-	2		0.075
5/05	HILL SCHOOL (7-7)	PA Indep	93.2		W	10-	0		0.100
5/07	at Hun School (14-6)	NJ Private	93.0		W	15-	6		1.100
5/09	at Haverford School (19-5)	PA IAC	99.2		L	8-	13		-0.200
5/12	at Penn Charter (14-12)	PA IAC	95.4		W	8-	7		0.200
5/14	PRINCETON HS (10-6)	NJ Grp-II	92.8		W	14-	4		0.050
5/18	at Peddie School (7-10)	NJ Private	90.7		W	13-	3		0.075
5/21	NORTH HUNTERDON (3-15)	NJ Grp-III	87.0		W	16-	3		0.000
# Neutral site			90.3						2.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	H	Mercersburg Academy	15-	5	10	13	–	-1.16		-3.17
4/06	N	Hotchkiss	6-	5	1	2		0.00		-0.73
4/11	H	Bridgewater-Raritan	12-	8	4	7	–	-1.02	-2.95
4/13	A	Moorestown	10-	3	7	6		1.02	1.12
4/21	N	Radnor	10-	2	8	4	++	0.00		4.16
4/22	H	Choate	9-	4	5	8	–	-1.09		-2.78
4/25	H	Hunterdon Central	11-	9	2	2		-1.02	-0.18
4/27	A	Brunswick School	11-	8	3	5		1.09		-1.61
4/28	A	Ridgewood	9-	5	4	2	+	1.02	2.10
4/30	H	Blair Academy	17-	5	12	17	––	-1.02	-4.79
5/02	H	Christian Bros	4-	2	2	7	––	-1.02	-4.76
5/05	H	Hill School	10-	0	10	6	+	-1.16		3.57
5/07	A	Hun School	15-	6	9	6	+	1.02	3.36
5/09	A	Haverford School	8-	13	-5	-2	–	1.16		-3.15
5/12	A	Penn Charter	8-	7	1	2		1.16		-0.91
5/14	H	Princeton HS	14-	4	10	8		-1.02	1.77
5/18	A	Peddie School	13-	3	10	7	+	1.02	3.02
5/21	H	North Hunterdon	16-	3	13	12		-1.02	1.32
									0.00	-4.62

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Mercersburg Academy	15-	5	3.17
4/30	H	Blair Academy	17-	5	4.79
5/05	H	Hill School	10-	0	0.00
5/14	H	Princeton HS	14-	4	0.00
5/18	A	Peddie School	13-	3	0.00
5/21	H	North Hunterdon	16-	3	-1.32
10-goal correction: 0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	194.		Natl CCR Rank	33
Natl Poll Vote	96.		Natl Poll Rank	26
Natl Power Rating	98.51		Natl Power Rank	37
Natl SOS Rating	90.33		Natl SOS Rank	128
Natl Quality Win Rating	2.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	6
W-L Pct Rating	0.94		W-L Pct Rank	41
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	11.0


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