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Liberty-Bealeton Eagles (3-11)

Region: VA NoWest

State: VA

Coach: Rich Klares

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	at Briar Woods (5-10)	VA Dulles	76.0		L	3-	8		-0.175
3/22	at Potomac Falls (7-6)	VA Dulles	78.3	9	L	2-	17		-0.100
3/24	at Rockbridge County (8-7)	VA Valley	79.5	7	L	7-	13		-0.050
3/26	HERITAGE-LEESBURG (15-3)	VA Dulles	84.4	3	L	1-	17		-0.025
3/29	FAUQUIER (8-8)	VA Cedar	81.4		L	3-	5		-0.150
3/31	BRENTSVILLE (6-7)	VA NoWest	77.8		W	8-	4		0.300
4/02	at Monticello (5-10)	VA Jeffsn	78.9	8	L	8-	14		-0.050
4/05	at Western Albemarle (13-5)	VA Jeffsn	88.2	1	L	3-	16		0.000
4/18	LOUDOUN COUNTY (10-4)	VA Dulles	81.6	5	L	3-	5		-0.100
4/19	CHARLOTTESVILLE (1-10)	VA Jeffsn	75.7		L	8-	12		-0.275
4/23	at Park View (0-12)	VA Dulles	66.4		W	10-	3		0.150
4/25	FREEDOM-SOUTH RIDING (2-12)	VA Dulles	72.3		W	6-	4		0.150
4/26	GEORGE MASON (6-7)	VA Dulles	77.9	10		-
4/30	at Broad Run (15-2)	VA Dulles	85.3	2	L	1-	18		0.000
5/14	at Rockbridge County (8-7)	VA Valley	79.5	7	L	8-	9		-0.050
			78.9						-0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	A	Briar Woods	3-	8	-5	-3		1.92	-1.78
3/22	A	Potomac Falls	2-	17	-15	-6	–––	1.92	-8.56
3/24	A	Rockbridge County	7-	13	-6	-8		1.92	1.96
3/26	H	Heritage-Leesburg	1-	17	-16	-9	–––	-1.92	-7.37
3/29	H	Fauquier	3-	5	-2	-4	+	-1.81		2.30
3/31	H	Brentsville	8-	4	4	-2	+++	-1.92	6.16
4/02	A	Monticello	8-	14	-6	-8		1.92	1.64
4/05	A	Western Albemarle	3-	16	-13	-16	+	1.92	3.31
4/18	H	Loudoun County	3-	5	-2	-6	+	-1.92	3.76
4/19	H	Charlottesville	8-	12	-4	1	––	-1.92	-5.10
4/23	A	Park View	10-	3	7	4	+	1.92	3.17
4/25	H	Freedom-South Riding	6-	4	2	4		-1.92	-1.60
4/30	A	Broad Run	1-	18	-17	-14	–	1.92	-2.54
5/14	A	Rockbridge County	8-	9	-1	-8	+++	1.92	6.96
									0.00	2.30

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/22	A	Potomac Falls	2-	17	5.00
3/26	H	Heritage-Leesburg	1-	17	6.00
4/05	A	Western Albemarle	3-	16	-3.31
4/30	A	Broad Run	1-	18	2.54
10-goal correction: 0.73

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	76.		Natl CCR Rank	2113
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.25		Natl Power Rank	2113
Natl SOS Rating	68.35		Natl SOS Rank	2072
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	2045
W-L Pct Rating	0.21		W-L Pct Rank	2213
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-8		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3


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