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Ledyard Colonels (9-6)

Conference: ECIAC

Region: CT M

State: CT

Coach: Brian Martin

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at Valley Regional (7-8)	CT S	79.5		W	6-	1		0.175
4/10	WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (2-14)	CT M	72.9		W	15-	2		0.000
4/24	STONINGTON (6-12)	CT S	79.1		L	10-	11	ot	-0.400
4/26	at Fitch-Groton (5-11)	CT M	82.0		W	14-	5		0.250
4/30	at Morgan-Clinton (10-6)	CT S	87.3		L	9-	13		-0.150
5/03	at East Lyme (16-4)	CT M	94.3		L	3-	18		0.000
5/04	VALLEY REGIONAL (7-8)	CT S	79.5		W	10-	4		0.100
5/07	WHEELER-NO STONINGTON (3-13)	CT S	70.2		W	10-	3		0.000
5/10	OLD LYME (12-3)	CT S	88.1		L	7-	11		-0.200
5/14	at Norwich Free Academy (10-7)	CT L	86.0		W	10-	9		0.300
5/19	vs. Saint Bernard # (5-11)	CT S	73.4		W	15-	1		0.000
5/21	at Woodstock Academy (2-14)	CT M	72.9		W	11-	3		0.050
5/23	vs. Stonington # (6-12)	CT S	79.1		W	11-	9		0.150
5/25	vs. East Lyme # (16-4)	CT M	94.3		L	8-	13		0.000
6/01	WILTON (10-10)	CT M	93.5		L	4-	14		-0.025
# Neutral site			79.3						0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	Valley Regional	6-	1	5	3	+	1.70	2.22
4/10	H	Woodstock Academy	15-	2	13	12		-1.70	1.24
4/24	H	Stonington	10-	11	-1	6	–––	-1.70	-6.82
4/26	A	Fitch-Groton	14-	5	9	0	+++	1.70	9.32
4/30	A	Morgan-Clinton	9-	13	-4	-4		1.70	0.12
5/03	A	East Lyme	3-	18	-15	-12	–	1.70	-3.37
5/04	H	Valley Regional	10-	4	6	6		-1.70	-0.17
5/07	H	Wheeler-No Stonington	10-	3	7	14	–––	-1.70	-7.07
5/10	H	Old Lyme	7-	11	-4	-2	–	-1.70	-2.50
5/14	A	Norwich Free Academy	10-	9	1	-2	+	1.70	2.59
5/19	N	Saint Bernard	15-	1	14	12	+	0.00	2.50
5/21	A	Woodstock Academy	11-	3	8	8		1.70	-0.37
5/23	N	Stonington	11-	9	2	4	–	0.00	-2.13
5/25	N	East Lyme	8-	13	-5	-10	++	0.00	4.94
6/01	H	Wilton	4-	14	-10	-9		-1.70	-0.51
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/10	H	Woodstock Academy	15-	2	-1.24
5/03	A	East Lyme	3-	18	3.37
5/19	N	Saint Bernard	15-	1	-2.50
6/01	H	Wilton	4-	14	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	1308
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.95		Natl Power Rank	1308
Natl SOS Rating	69.50		Natl SOS Rank	1969
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	888
W-L Pct Rating	0.60		W-L Pct Rank	886
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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