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Lincoln-Sudbury Warriors (9-10)

Conference: Dual County

Region: MA 1

State: MA

Coach: Brian Vona

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	NEWTON SOUTH (5-11)	MA 1	88.1		W	7-	2		0.125
4/07	vs. Greenwich HS # (18-4)	CT L	97.0		L	7-	9		-0.100
4/10	WESTFORD ACADEMY (12-8)	MA 1	90.5		W	12-	5		0.175
4/12	BILLERICA (18-3)	MA 1	95.5	5	L	9-	11		-0.150
4/18	at Newton North (6-13)	MA 1	86.7		W	12-	5		0.125
4/20	SOUTH HADLEY (16-5)	MA 2	95.2		L	7-	8	ot	-0.150
4/21	SOUTHINGTON (6-10)	CT L	87.1		W	19-	5		0.125
4/24	ACTON BOXBOROUGH (10-11)	MA 1	90.4		W	12-	5		0.175
4/26	at Westford Academy (12-8)	MA 1	90.5		L	5-	6		-0.275
4/28	at Daniel Hand-Madison (7-11)	CT M	91.6		L	4-	10		-0.200
5/01	WAYLAND (17-4)	MA 2	93.0		W	8-	6		0.225
5/03	at Concord Carlisle (17-7)	MA 2	92.3		L	4-	6		-0.225
5/08	at Bedford (3-13)	MA 3	84.6		W	17-	10		0.075
5/10	WESTON (9-11)	MA 3	88.9		W	12-	9		0.125
5/12	at Beverly (17-5)	MA 1	93.3	9	L	8-	12		-0.200
5/15	at Newton South (5-11)	MA 1	88.1		L	7-	10		-0.325
5/17	at Acton Boxborough (10-11)	MA 1	90.4		L	4-	5		-0.250
5/21	at Hingham (11-10)	MA 2	90.8		W	11-	8		0.250
5/23	ANDOVER HS (16-5)	MA 1	93.3	10	L	7-	9		-0.250
# Neutral site			90.0						-0.73

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	H	Newton South	7-	2	5	5		-1.16	-0.26
4/07	N	Greenwich HS	7-	9	-2	-6	++	0.00		4.46
4/10	H	Westford Academy	12-	5	7	3	+	-1.16	3.55
4/12	H	Billerica	9-	11	-2	-4		-1.16	1.78
4/18	A	Newton North	12-	5	7	5	+	1.16	2.18
4/20	H	South Hadley	7-	8	-1	-4	+	-0.92		2.74
4/21	H	Southington	19-	5	14	5	+++	-1.43		9.10
4/24	H	Acton Boxborough	12-	5	7	3	++	-1.16	4.50
4/26	A	Westford Academy	5-	6	-1	1	–	1.16	-2.14
4/28	A	Daniel Hand-Madison	4-	10	-6	-2	–	1.43		-3.54
5/01	H	Wayland	8-	6	2	1		-1.16	1.15
5/03	A	Concord Carlisle	4-	6	-2	-1		1.16	-1.32
5/08	A	Bedford	17-	10	7	7		1.16	-0.41
5/10	H	Weston	12-	9	3	5		-1.16	-1.50
5/12	A	Beverly	8-	12	-4	-2		1.16	-1.57
5/15	A	Newton South	7-	10	-3	3	––	1.16	-5.94
5/17	A	Acton Boxborough	4-	5	-1	0		1.16	-1.19
5/21	A	Hingham	11-	8	3	0	+	1.16	3.48
5/23	H	Andover HS	7-	9	-2	0	–	-1.16	-2.33
									0.00	12.76

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/21	H	Southington	19-	5	-4.00
10-goal correction: -0.21

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	491
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.58		Natl Power Rank	491
Natl SOS Rating	89.23		Natl SOS Rank	178
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.73		Natl Quality Win Rank	2473
W-L Pct Rating	0.47		W-L Pct Rank	1370
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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