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Livingston Lancers (0-17)

Conference: Waterm

Region: NJ Grp-III

State: NJ

Coach: Howard Shirley

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at Mendham (5-12)	NJ Grp-II	88.8		L	3-	15		0.000
4/09	at Summit (9-10)	NJ Grp-I	92.4		L	1-	12		0.000
4/12	at Columbia (10-9)	NJ Grp-IV	92.5		L	2-	16		0.000
4/13	at West Morris Central (13-7)	NJ Grp-II	93.8		L	4-	17		0.000
4/17	at Randolph (17-6)	NJ Grp-III	95.9	7	L	2-	17		0.000
4/18	at Watchung Hills (14-4)	NJ Grp-III	93.7		L	3-	18		0.000
4/20	at Morristown Beard (9-8)	NJ Grp-B	92.0		L	4-	15		0.000
4/23	SETON HALL PREP (11-8)	NJ Grp-A	93.7		L	1-	20		0.000
4/25	A.L.JOHNSON-CLARK (10-9)	NJ Grp-I	91.1		L	8-	15		0.000
4/30	at West Essex Regional (3-13)	NJ Grp-I	87.2		L	3-	15		0.000
5/03	at Glen Ridge (10-9)	NJ Grp-I	90.2		L	4-	21		0.000
5/04	PINGRY (9-8)	NJ Grp-B	92.7		L	3-	17		0.000
5/09	RIDGE (16-6)	NJ Grp-III	95.2		L	3-	19		0.000
5/11	ROXBURY (6-11)	NJ Grp-III	88.7		L	3-	16		-0.025
5/15	at Morristown (2-17)	NJ Grp-III	85.7		L	5-	19		-0.025
5/17	WEST ESSEX REGIONAL (3-13)	NJ Grp-I	87.2		L	2-	15		-0.025
5/18	IMMACULATA (15-5)	NJ Grp-B	94.9		L	5-	18		0.000
			88.3						-0.08

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	Mendham	3-	15	-12	-11		1.02	-0.74
4/09	A	Summit	1-	12	-11	-16	++	1.02	4.79
4/12	A	Columbia	2-	16	-14	-15		1.02	1.14
4/13	A	West Morris Central	4-	17	-13	-16	+	1.02	3.38
4/17	A	Randolph	2-	17	-15	-20	++	1.02	4.60
4/18	A	Watchung Hills	3-	18	-15	-16		1.02	0.52
4/20	A	Morristown Beard	4-	15	-11	-14	+	1.02	2.56
4/23	H	Seton Hall Prep	1-	20	-19	-16	–	-1.02	-3.09
4/25	H	A.L.Johnson-Clark	8-	15	-7	-11	+	-1.02	3.61
4/30	A	West Essex Regional	3-	15	-12	-11		1.02	-1.30
5/03	A	Glen Ridge	4-	21	-17	-12	––	1.02	-4.73
5/04	H	Pingry	3-	17	-14	-13		-1.02	-1.35
5/09	H	Ridge	3-	19	-16	-17		-1.02	1.30
5/11	H	Roxbury	3-	16	-13	-9	–	-1.02	-3.64
5/15	A	Morristown	5-	19	-14	-9	––	1.02	-5.33
5/17	H	West Essex Regional	2-	15	-13	-9	––	-1.02	-4.34
5/18	H	Immaculata	5-	18	-13	-16	+	-1.02	2.62
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	A	Mendham	3-	15	0.74
4/09	A	Summit	1-	12	-4.79
4/12	A	Columbia	2-	16	-1.14
4/13	A	West Morris Central	4-	17	-3.38
4/17	A	Randolph	2-	17	-4.60
4/18	A	Watchung Hills	3-	18	-0.52
4/20	A	Morristown Beard	4-	15	-2.56
4/23	H	Seton Hall Prep	1-	20	3.09
4/30	A	West Essex Regional	3-	15	1.30
5/03	A	Glen Ridge	4-	21	4.73
5/04	H	Pingry	3-	17	1.35
5/09	H	Ridge	3-	19	-1.30
5/11	H	Roxbury	3-	16	3.00
5/15	A	Morristown	5-	19	4.00
5/17	H	West Essex Regional	2-	15	3.00
5/18	H	Immaculata	5-	18	-2.62
10-goal correction: 0.02

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	2156
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.10		Natl Power Rank	2156
Natl SOS Rating	85.66		Natl SOS Rank	353
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.08		Natl Quality Win Rank	1485
W-L Pct Rating	0.00		W-L Pct Rank	2625
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	0-17		Ave Goal diff (all )	-13.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-15.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-15.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-13.3


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