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Liverpool Warriors (8-11)

Conference: OSHLN1

Region: NY A Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Jay Graham

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/31	BINGHAMTON (3-17)	NY A Sec 4	84.0		W	13-	2		0.000
4/03	AUBURN (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	92.9		L	7-	8	ot	-0.300
4/05	at Baldwinsville (16-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.5	5	L	7-	8		-0.075
4/10	at West Genesee (22-1)	NY A Sec 3	99.7	1	L	6-	15		0.000
4/13	ESSEX JUNCTION (13-5)	VT 1 NVAC	93.2		W	19-	9		0.200
4/14	CICERO-NORTH SYRACUSE (14-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.2	8	L	10-	12		-0.175
4/17	CENTRAL SQUARE (6-12)	NY A Sec 3	89.8		W	17-	12		0.125
4/19	UNION-ENDICOTT (10-9)	NY A Sec 4	91.8		W	11-	5		0.175
4/20	at Nottingham (2-17)	NY B Sec 3	87.4		W	15-	3		0.100
4/21	CARTHAGE (18-2)	NY B Sec 3	97.3	6	L	7-	14		-0.175
4/24	OSWEGO (12-7)	NY A Sec 3	95.1		L	11-	12		-0.250
4/26	at Henninger (5-13)	NY A Sec 3	89.4		W	7-	6		0.175
4/28	BALDWINSVILLE (16-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.5	5	L	11-	14		-0.150
5/04	CORCORAN (4-14)	NY A Sec 3	87.2		W	10-	5		0.025
5/08	at Auburn (8-11)	NY A Sec 3	92.9		W	8-	7		0.275
5/10	WEST GENESEE (22-1)	NY A Sec 3	99.7	1	L	3-	16		0.000
5/15	at Fayetteville-Manlius (14-5)	NY A Sec 3	96.4	9	L	9-	10		-0.125
5/18	at Cicero-North Syracuse (14-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.2	8	L	6-	13		-0.100
5/25	at Cicero-North Syracuse (14-5)	NY A Sec 3	97.2	8	L	10-	20		-0.100
			90.0						-0.38

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/31	H	Binghamton	13-	2	11	11		-1.18		0.12
4/03	H	Auburn	7-	8	-1	2	–	-1.48	-3.19
4/05	A	Baldwinsville	7-	8	-1	-7	+++	1.48	6.07
4/10	A	West Genesee	6-	15	-9	-13	+	1.48	3.91
4/13	H	Essex Junction	19-	9	10	2	+++	-1.09		8.50
4/14	H	Cicero-North Syracuse	10-	12	-2	-3		-1.48	0.76
4/17	H	Central Square	17-	12	5	5		-1.48	-0.17
4/19	H	Union-Endicott	11-	5	6	3	+	-1.18		3.00
4/20	A	Nottingham	15-	3	12	6	+++	1.48	6.42
4/21	H	Carthage	7-	14	-7	-3	––	-1.48	-4.47
4/24	H	Oswego	11-	12	-1	0		-1.48	-1.14
4/26	A	Henninger	7-	6	1	3	–	1.48	-2.21
4/28	H	Baldwinsville	11-	14	-3	-4		-1.48	1.10
5/04	H	Corcoran	10-	5	5	9	–	-1.48	-3.81
5/08	A	Auburn	8-	7	1	-1		1.48	1.77
5/10	H	West Genesee	3-	16	-13	-10	–	-1.48	-3.06
5/15	A	Fayetteville-Manlius	9-	10	-1	-5	+	1.48	3.55
5/18	A	Cicero-North Syracuse	6-	13	-7	-6		1.48	-1.28
5/25	A	Cicero-North Syracuse	10-	20	-10	-6	––	1.48	-4.28
									0.00	11.62

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	H	Binghamton	13-	2	-0.12
4/13	H	Essex Junction	19-	9	0.00
4/20	A	Nottingham	15-	3	-2.00
5/10	H	West Genesee	3-	16	3.00
5/25	A	Cicero-North Syracuse	10-	20	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	94.		Natl CCR Rank	233
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	93.67		Natl Power Rank	233
Natl SOS Rating	89.81		Natl SOS Rank	153
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.38		Natl Quality Win Rank	2016
W-L Pct Rating	0.42		W-L Pct Rank	1600
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.0


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