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Lancaster Cou Day Cougars (1-15)

Region: PA LL04

State: PA

Coach: Rob Umble

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	at Dallastown (6-12)	PA York 1	73.6		L	6-	7	ot	-0.225
3/29	WARWICK (19-7)	PA LL04	88.2	5	L	4-	16		0.000
3/31	BISHOP MCDEVITT (1-14)	PA Mid 1	69.8		W	11-	0		0.100
4/03	MANHEIM TOWNSHIP (26-1)	PA LL04	95.8	1	L	1-	16		0.000
4/05	CONESTOGA VALLEY (12-11)	PA LL04	83.4	9	L	5-	12		-0.050
4/10	at Ephrata (7-12)	PA LL04	78.7		L	7-	15		-0.125
4/13	at Elizabethtown (1-12)	PA LL04	72.5		L	4-	7		-0.250
4/19	RED LION (8-10)	PA York 1	78.7		L	2-	7		-0.200
4/21	at Moravian Academy (7-9)	PA PVLL-LV	85.4		L	5-	12		0.000
4/24	COCALICO (15-5)	PA LL04	85.1	7	L	7-	14		-0.125
4/26	at Central Dauphin (4-12)	PA Mid 1	76.6		L	4-	6		-0.125
5/01	at Penn Manor (10-9)	PA LL04	81.6		L	4-	18		-0.050
5/03	at Lower Dauphin (11-6)	PA Mid 1	81.4		L	13-	17		-0.025
5/07	HARRISBURG ACADEMY (5-10)	PA Mid 1	78.0		L	7-	9		-0.200
5/08	LAMPETER-STRASBURG (14-8)	PA LL04	83.2	10	L	7-	13		-0.075
5/10	at Hempfield (18-6)	PA LL04	92.1	2	L	0-	14		0.000
			82.5						-1.35

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	A	Dallastown	6-	7	-1	-1		1.55	0.00
3/29	H	Warwick	4-	16	-12	-10		-1.55	-1.51
3/31	H	Bishop McDevitt	11-	0	11	6	++	-1.55	4.99
4/03	H	Manheim Township	1-	16	-15	-18	+	-1.55	2.66
4/05	H	Conestoga Valley	5-	12	-7	-8		-1.55	0.84
4/10	A	Ephrata	7-	15	-8	-5	–	1.55	-3.49
4/13	A	Elizabethtown	4-	7	-3	0	–	1.55	-2.85
4/19	H	Red Lion	2-	7	-5	-2	–	-1.55	-3.03
4/21	A	Moravian Academy	5-	12	-7	-14	+++	1.42		7.30
4/24	H	Cocalico	7-	14	-7	-5	–	-1.55	-2.46
4/26	A	Central Dauphin	4-	6	-2	-5	+	1.55	2.90
5/01	A	Penn Manor	4-	18	-14	-8	–––	1.55	-6.45
5/03	A	Lower Dauphin	13-	17	-4	-9	++	1.55	4.72
5/07	H	Harrisburg Academy	7-	9	-2	-2		-1.55	-0.04
5/08	H	Lampeter-Strasburg	7-	13	-6	-7		-1.55	0.54
5/10	A	Hempfield	0-	14	-14	-17	+	1.55	3.17
									0.00	7.30

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/29	H	Warwick	4-	16	2.00
3/31	H	Bishop McDevitt	11-	0	-1.00
4/03	H	Manheim Township	1-	16	-2.66
5/01	A	Penn Manor	4-	18	4.00
5/10	A	Hempfield	0-	14	-3.17
10-goal correction: -0.05

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	2195
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	72.53		Natl Power Rank	2195
Natl SOS Rating	75.32		Natl SOS Rank	1354
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.35		Natl Quality Win Rank	2715
W-L Pct Rating	0.06		W-L Pct Rank	2525
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	1-15		Ave Goal diff (all )	-6.0
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-13.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-10		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.3


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