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Longmeadow Lancers (17-6)

Conference: WestMass

Region: MA 2

State: MA

Coach: John Rauseo

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at Cathedral Springfield (3-15)	MA 2	87.4	10	W	13-	0		0.000
4/05	EAST LONGMEADOW (6-12)	MA 2	89.2	9	W	10-	2		0.000
4/10	at West Springfield (7-11)	MA 2	90.2	8	W	14-	5		0.000
4/14	at South Hadley (16-5)	MA 2	95.7	2	W	8-	6		0.225
4/18	DEERFIELD (15-0)	NE 1 West	99.2		L	4-	16		-0.200
4/21	vs. Holy Trinity # (10-7)	NY Cath	90.7		L	9-	10		-0.375
4/24	at Amherst-Pelham (12-8)	MA 2	91.6	4	L	12-	13		-0.375
4/26	at Scituate (16-4)	MA 3	94.4		L	7-	10		-0.275
4/28	PINKERTON (13-5)	NH 1	92.8		W	14-	9		0.150
5/01	SOUTH HADLEY (16-5)	MA 2	95.7	2	L	9-	10	ot	-0.300
5/03	at Westfield (13-9)	MA 2	91.6	5	W	15-	11		0.125
5/06	MEDFIELD (23-2)	MA 2	97.5		W	10-	6		0.275
5/08	at Minnechaug (12-7)	MA 2	94.0	3	W	8-	7		0.225
5/17	NORTHAMPTON (11-9)	MA 2	90.9	6	W	12-	6		0.025
5/18	AMHERST-PELHAM (12-8)	MA 2	91.6	4	W	18-	6		0.075
5/23	WESTFIELD (13-9)	MA 2	91.6	5	W	16-	7		0.100
5/25	MINNECHAUG (12-7)	MA 2	94.0	3	W	8-	6		0.175
5/29	at Agawam (1-17)	MA 2	85.8		W	15-	2		0.000
6/05	WEST SPRINGFIELD (7-11)	MA 2	90.2	8	W	20-	7		0.000
6/07	WESTFIELD (13-9)	MA 2	91.6	5	W	15-	9		0.100
6/11	SOUTH HADLEY (16-5)	MA 2	95.7	2	W	16-	4		0.200
6/13	vs. Algonquin # (13-9)	MA 2	89.1		W	15-	6		0.075
6/16	MEDFIELD (23-2)	MA 2	97.5		L	8-	14		-0.225
# Neutral site			90.8						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Cathedral Springfield	13-	0	13	13		0.68	-0.19
4/05	H	East Longmeadow	10-	2	8	11	–	-0.68	-3.12
4/10	A	West Springfield	14-	5	9	10		0.68	-0.76
4/14	A	South Hadley	8-	6	2	1		0.68	0.93
4/18	H	Deerfield	4-	16	-12	-2	–––	-0.91		-9.56
4/21	N	Holy Trinity	9-	10	-1	5	–––	0.00		-6.17
4/24	A	Amherst-Pelham	12-	13	-1	5	–––	0.68	-6.16
4/26	A	Scituate	7-	10	-3	1	–	0.92		-3.54
4/28	H	Pinkerton	14-	9	5	4		-0.66		1.29
5/01	H	South Hadley	9-	10	-1	2	–	-0.68	-3.42
5/03	A	Westfield	15-	11	4	5		0.68	-0.82
5/06	H	Medfield	10-	6	4	-1	++	-0.92		4.73
5/08	A	Minnechaug	8-	7	1	1		0.68	-0.16
5/17	H	Northampton	12-	6	6	9	–	-0.68	-2.95
5/18	H	Amherst-Pelham	18-	6	12	7	++	-0.68	5.48
5/23	H	Westfield	16-	7	9	6	+	-0.68	2.82
5/25	H	Minnechaug	8-	6	2	3		-0.68	-0.51
5/29	A	Agawam	15-	2	13	15	–	0.68	-2.42
6/05	H	West Springfield	20-	7	13	11		-0.68	1.88
6/07	H	Westfield	15-	9	6	6		-0.68	-0.18
6/11	H	South Hadley	16-	4	12	2	+++	-0.68	9.58
6/13	N	Algonquin	15-	6	9	7	+	0.00		2.21
6/16	H	Medfield	8-	14	-6	-1	––	-0.92		-5.27
									0.00	-16.31

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	A	Cathedral Springfield	13-	0	0.19
4/18	H	Deerfield	4-	16	2.00
5/18	H	Amherst-Pelham	18-	6	-2.00
5/29	A	Agawam	15-	2	2.42
6/05	H	West Springfield	20-	7	-1.88
6/11	H	South Hadley	16-	4	-2.00
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	96.		Natl CCR Rank	125
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	95.85		Natl Power Rank	125
Natl SOS Rating	91.12		Natl SOS Rank	95
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	1237
W-L Pct Rating	0.74		W-L Pct Rank	443
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	8-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	4.6
Wins/Losses (top 10)	13-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	6.3
Wins/Losses (top 20)	14-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	6.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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