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Lowville Red Raiders (6-12)

Conference: Frontr

Region: NY C Sec 3

State: NY

Coach: Rob Goss

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/24	at Potsdam (12-6)	NY C Sec 10	86.8		L	7-	12		-0.200
3/27	at Jordan-Elbridge (9-10)	NY C Sec 3	92.4		L	5-	16		-0.050
3/31	at Rome Free Academy (7-11)	NY A Sec 3	84.4		W	10-	7		0.225
4/10	at General Brown (2-13)	NY C Sec 3	83.5		W	7-	6		0.225
4/13	at Watertown HS (11-8)	NY B Sec 3	91.2		L	4-	9		-0.100
4/14	BISHOP LUDDEN (4-12)	NY C Sec 3	87.7		L	7-	8		-0.275
4/20	at St Lawrence Central (9-8)	NY C Sec 10	81.1		L	8-	11		-0.350
4/24	at South Jefferson (10-8)	NY C Sec 3	92.8		L	4-	13		-0.025
4/26	INDIAN RIVER (5-12)	NY B Sec 3	82.2		W	14-	2		0.075
4/27	at Carthage (18-2)	NY B Sec 3	97.3	6	L	2-	18		0.000
5/03	at Watertown IHC (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	94.6		L	10-	15		-0.050
5/05	GENERAL BROWN (2-13)	NY C Sec 3	83.5		W	11-	3		0.150
5/08	WATERTOWN HS (11-8)	NY B Sec 3	91.2		L	6-	13		-0.175
5/10	SOUTH JEFFERSON (10-8)	NY C Sec 3	92.8		L	9-	11		-0.100
5/12	at Indian River (5-12)	NY B Sec 3	82.2		W	11-	10		0.150
5/14	WATERTOWN IHC (15-6)	NY C Sec 3	94.6		L	9-	14		-0.100
5/15	CARTHAGE (18-2)	NY B Sec 3	97.3	6	L	2-	18		0.000
5/19	CLINTON (8-11)	NY C Sec 3	78.3		W	17-	6		0.000
			83.0						-0.60

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	A	Potsdam	7-	12	-5	-2	–	1.79		-3.38
3/27	A	Jordan-Elbridge	5-	16	-11	-8	–	1.48	-2.51
3/31	A	Rome Free Academy	10-	7	3	1		1.48	1.63
4/10	A	General Brown	7-	6	1	1		1.48	-0.07
4/13	A	Watertown HS	4-	9	-5	-6		1.48	0.98
4/14	H	Bishop Ludden	7-	8	-1	1		-1.48	-1.89
4/20	A	St Lawrence Central	8-	11	-3	4	–––	1.79		-7.14
4/24	A	South Jefferson	4-	13	-9	-9		1.48	-0.29
4/26	H	Indian River	14-	2	12	7	++	-1.48	4.83
4/27	A	Carthage	2-	18	-16	-13	–	1.48	-2.64
5/03	A	Watertown IHC	10-	15	-5	-8	+	1.48	3.47
5/05	H	General Brown	11-	3	8	4	+	-1.48	3.96
5/08	H	Watertown HS	6-	13	-7	-3	–	-1.48	-3.98
5/10	H	South Jefferson	9-	11	-2	-6	+	-1.48	3.75
5/12	A	Indian River	11-	10	1	4	–	1.48	-3.21
5/14	H	Watertown IHC	9-	14	-5	-6		-1.48	0.50
5/15	H	Carthage	2-	18	-16	-10	––	-1.48	-5.60
5/19	H	Clinton	17-	6	11	10		-1.48	1.06
									0.00	-10.52

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/27	A	Jordan-Elbridge	5-	16	1.00
4/26	H	Indian River	14-	2	-2.00
4/27	A	Carthage	2-	18	2.64
5/15	H	Carthage	2-	18	6.00
5/19	H	Clinton	17-	6	-1.06
10-goal correction: 0.37

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	88.		Natl CCR Rank	912
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	86.99		Natl Power Rank	912
Natl SOS Rating	75.82		Natl SOS Rank	1303
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.60		Natl Quality Win Rank	2353
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1878
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-16.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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