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Lower Merion Aces (11-9)

Region: PA Centrl

State: PA

Coach: Chet Laubach

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/23	SPRING-FORD (11-8)	PA PAC-10	87.7		W	10-	0		0.100
3/26	NORTH PENN (7-12)	PA SubNat	88.3		L	4-	8		-0.300
3/28	at Garnet Valley (18-4)	PA DelVal	95.0	7	W	10-	9		0.450
3/31	EPISCOPAL ACADEMY (10-11)	PA IAC	92.6		W	8-	6		0.325
4/02	at Harriton (8-13)	PA DelVal	87.3		W	9-	2		0.200
4/05	at Germantown Academy (13-7)	PA IAC	95.0	9	L	1-	12		-0.025
4/10	at Penncrest (15-8)	PA Centrl	94.3		L	0-	9		-0.075
4/12	at Shipley (10-6)	PA Noeast	87.4		W	11-	3		0.175
4/14	at Owen J Roberts (13-6)	PA PAC-10	88.8		W	11-	5		0.200
4/17	at West Chester East (13-6)	PA Suburb	92.6		L	3-	13		-0.125
4/20	MARPLE NEWTOWN (5-12)	PA Centrl	87.7		W	16-	8		0.125
4/23	SOUDERTON (9-7)	PA SubCont	90.0		W	8-	6		0.200
4/26	RADNOR (12-11)	PA Centrl	93.4		L	2-	11		-0.125
4/28	FRIENDS CENTRAL (7-7)	PA Noeast	86.4		W	8-	5		0.075
5/01	CONESTOGA (18-5)	PA Centrl	96.4	5	L	3-	8		-0.075
5/03	at Haverford HS (7-10)	PA Centrl	87.6		W	5-	3		0.200
5/08	at Ridley (13-6)	PA Centrl	94.2		L	2-	7		-0.075
5/10	STRATH HAVEN (13-9)	PA Centrl	92.8		L	3-	16		-0.150
5/12	UPPER DARBY (7-13)	PA Centrl	86.7		W	7-	5		0.100
5/15	at Springfield-Delco (8-8)	PA Centrl	90.9		L	4-	11		-0.150
			88.4						1.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/23	H	Spring-Ford	10-	0	10	6	+	-1.29	3.89
3/26	H	North Penn	4-	8	-4	2	––	-1.29	-5.92
3/28	A	Garnet Valley	10-	9	1	-8	+++	1.29	9.09
3/31	H	Episcopal Academy	8-	6	2	-3	++	-1.29	5.21
4/02	A	Harriton	9-	2	7	2	++	1.29	4.81
4/05	A	Germantown Academy	1-	12	-11	-9	–	1.29	-2.00
4/10	A	Penncrest	0-	9	-9	-7	–	1.29	-2.27
4/12	A	Shipley	11-	3	8	3	++	1.29	4.98
4/14	A	Owen J Roberts	11-	5	6	2	+	1.29	3.58
4/17	A	West Chester East	3-	13	-10	-5	––	1.29	-5.41
4/20	H	Marple Newtown	16-	8	8	5	+	-1.29	3.11
4/23	H	Souderton	8-	6	2	2		-1.29	0.34
4/26	H	Radnor	2-	11	-9	-5	––	-1.29	-4.06
4/28	H	Friends Central	8-	5	3	7	–	-1.29	-3.98
5/01	H	Conestoga	3-	8	-5	-7	+	-1.29	2.06
5/03	A	Haverford HS	5-	3	2	2		1.29	0.01
5/08	A	Ridley	2-	7	-5	-7	+	1.29	2.07
5/10	H	Strath Haven	3-	16	-13	-4	–––	-1.29	-8.68
5/12	H	Upper Darby	7-	5	2	6	–	-1.29	-3.53
5/15	A	Springfield-Delco	4-	11	-7	-4	–	1.29	-3.31
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/23	H	Spring-Ford	10-	0	0.00
4/05	A	Germantown Academy	1-	12	1.00
4/17	A	West Chester East	3-	13	0.00
5/10	H	Strath Haven	3-	16	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	91.		Natl CCR Rank	534
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	90.80		Natl Power Rank	534
Natl SOS Rating	86.20		Natl SOS Rank	321
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	217
W-L Pct Rating	0.55		W-L Pct Rank	1092
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	11-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-6.0


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