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Lexington Tates Creek Commodores (10-5)

Region: KY Div-1State: KYCoach: Andy Tarter

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
3/11vs. Hamilton SouthEastern # (9-10)IN Indep80.0W6- 2 0.075  
3/14LEXINGTON HENRY CLAY (3-8)KY Div-265.9W13- 2 0.000  
3/18at Oldham County (11-3)KY Div-279.86W10- 4 0.075  
3/21KENTUCKY COUNTRY DAY (0-15)KY Div-165.4W16- 1 0.000  
3/24CULVER ACADEMY (16-6)IN Indep92.9L7- 8ot-0.150  
3/25at Louisville Collegiate (8-6)KY Div-184.05L5- 6 -0.250  
3/27at Louisville Ballard (3-10)KY Div-176.49W16- 5 0.100  
4/10LEXINGTON DUNBAR (5-8)KY Div-177.17W12- 3 0.025  
4/18at Lexington Sayre (5-10)KY Div-173.2W15- 3 0.075  
4/21at DuPont Manual (4-9)KY Div-173.8W15- 2 0.050  
4/23at Louisville Trinity (16-3)KY Div-191.01L3- 9 -0.100  
5/03LOUISVILLE ST XAVIER (15-7)KY Div-189.32L9-16 -0.200  
5/09at Lexington Catholic (8-4)KY Div-184.84W10- 4 0.250  
5/14DUPONT MANUAL (4-9)KY Div-173.8W14- 5 0.000  
5/16vs. Louisville St Xavier # (15-7)KY Div-189.32L9-12 -0.150  
# Neutral site 82.1     -0.20  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/11NHamilton SouthEastern6-24   7       –0.00       -2.63
3/14HLexington Henry Clay13-211   18       –––-1.81       -6.96
3/18AOldham County10-46   7       1.81       -0.51
3/21HKentucky Country Day16-115   18       –-1.81       -2.79
3/24HCulver Academy7-8-1   -4       +-2.24       3.08
3/25ALouisville Collegiate5-6-1   0       1.81       -1.37
3/27ALouisville Ballard16-511   6       ++1.81       5.32
4/10HLexington Dunbar12-39   9       -1.81       -0.49
4/18ALexington Sayre15-312   7       ++1.81       4.52
4/21ADuPont Manual15-213   8       ++1.81       4.60
4/23ALouisville Trinity3-9-6   -6       1.81       -0.47
5/03HLouisville St Xavier9-16-7   -2       ––-1.81       -5.14
5/09ALexington Catholic10-46   0       ++1.81       5.64
5/14HDuPont Manual14-59   12       –-1.81       -3.03
5/16NLouisville St Xavier9-12-3   -4       0.00       0.67
         0.000.45

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/14HLexington Henry Clay13-26.96
3/21HKentucky Country Day16-12.79
3/27ALouisville Ballard16-5-1.00
4/18ALexington Sayre15-3-2.00
4/21ADuPont Manual15-2-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.25

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 87.   Natl CCR Rank 963
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 86.63   Natl Power Rank 963
Natl SOS Rating 74.12   Natl SOS Rank 1481
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.20   Natl Quality Win Rank 1684
W-L Pct Rating 0.67   W-L Pct Rank 651
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 10-5   Ave Goal diff (all ) 5.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 1-4   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -2.2
Wins/Losses (top 10) 4-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.9
Wins/Losses (top 20) 9-4   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 5.8
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 4.0



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